Archive for the Iraq Category

The Crashing Escalation Surge (July 9, 2007)

Posted in Bush, Iraq, Military on July 9, 2007 by e-ssay.org

The escalation surge in Iraq is not working.  Less than three months away from the promised results, the answer is clear.  Even two or three or four hundred thousand troops would only make a terrible situation even more desperate.  More is less.  Less is more.  Bush likely will assert “mission accomplished” or demand a further extension of time to show results.  Bush should claim victory and begin the withdrawal.

Few have argued lately that more Americans must be killed so those who have been killed will not have died in vain.  [See the e-ssay dated February 27, 2006 entitled “The Arithmetic of Futility”].  More casualties must accrue before any sustained opposition will develop.  Each village now has lost a son or daughter (or grand niece or fishin’ buddy or Eagle Scout or practical joker); each town a few; each city a few more.  There are likely to be a few public statements when the death toll hits 4000.  The critical mass may be 5000 dead and 35,000 to 50,000 serious casualties.  Daily war statistics are becoming as pedestrian as daily car crash statistics.  A few die on the road to Baghdad and a few die on the roads every day.  Body counts may not count.  They volunteered anyway, they observe.

Bumper sticker of the week:

Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.

Voltaire

Bush’s Valentine’s Day Message: “I’m Invading Iran. With Love” (February 19, 2007)

Posted in Bush, Iraq on February 19, 2007 by e-ssay.org

Bush’s recent Valentine’s Day press conference did not show much love.  Bush sees red again.  He is looking for a pretext to invade or bomb another country.  Iran.  The wellspring of opposition may not stop him.

The House was able to pass a resolution on Friday that contains language challenging the escalation surge:

(1)  Congress and the American people will continue to support and protect the members of the United States Armed Forces who are serving or who have served bravely and honorably in Iraq; and

(2)  Congress disapproves of the decision of President George W. Bush announced on January 10, 2007, to deploy more than 20,000 additional United States combat troops to Iraq.

Non-binding according to its terms but pivotal in light of the fierce opposition from Republicans.  The Senate Republicans would not even allow a debate on a similar resolution.  Congress needs some resolve.

Congress should introduce a resolution to condemn and oppose any invasion or bombing of Iran.

Congress also should introduce a resolution to withdraw the 2002 Resolution Bush used to excuse his invasion of Iraq because it was based on lies and no longer serves any national interest.

The Inspector General of the Pentagon found that Doug Feith, a former Undersecretary of Defense, and his office manipulated pre-war intelligence to heighten fear of a connection between Iraq and al Qaeda.

Australian Prime Minister John Howard said that Barack Obama’s proposal to remove U.S. combat forces from Iraq by March 31, 2008 would create disaster in  the Mideast.  “If I were running al Qaeda in Iraq,” he whined, “I would put a circle around March 2008 and be praying as many times as possible for a victory, not only for Obama but also for the Democrats.”  American timetables are irrelevant to the Iraqis.  The Australians as a people are just exactly, precisely like Americans, except that they are smarter, better looking and far more laid back.  And they share a common problem with Americans.  Wankers in power. Howard has spent too much time in the sun.  Let him run al Qaeda.  He is out of his league even in Canberra.

The agreement with North Korea is a promising start.  Talk.  With no conditions.  Keep talking.

Abraham Lincoln is reputed to have said:  “You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you cannot fool all of the people all of the time.”

“We won’t get fooled again.”  From the song “Won’t Get Fooled Again” by The Who.

We might get fooled again.

Bumper stickers of the week:

Give War A(nother) Chance–Bush

Laissez les bons temps rouler!

Black Hawk Down. And Down and Down And Down (February 5, 2007)

Posted in Bush, Foreign Policy, Global Warming, Iraq, Military on February 5, 2007 by e-ssay.org

A fourth American helicopter was shot down or crashed under fire in the last two weeks.  The Iraqis are now emboldened and have figured out how to evade the evasive measures undertaken by the American helicopters.  [See the concern raised in the e-ssay dated September 25, 2006.]

The decision by the Chinese to blast the satellite a few weeks ago is another ominous threat particularly because the officials most likely to oversee such an action indicated that they were not aware of the decision to launch.  Things may be out of control over there also.

The recent declassified version of the “National Intelligence Estimate” offers another bleak analysis of the quagmire in Iraq.  The situation is deteriorating and requiring more graves.

A soldier killed in a roadside bombing was the 100th British death attributed to hostile action since the invasion in 2003, according to the Ministry of Defense.  American deaths are one or two away from 3100.

One reader noted that more horses than soldiers were killed and wounded in the Charge of the Light Brigade.  The horses are the unnamed Iraqis whose deaths are unacknowledged if not disregarded.  The Barbaros of the battlefield.

Congress is debating a resolution that may express its resolve, yet Bush will not detour from his collision course.  It is time to take a stand.  Young kids are dying while old men (and women) debate and dawdle.

Congressman John Conyers (D-NY), the new chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, announced that he will soon hold hearings on President Bush’s use of presidential signing statements.  [See the concern raised in the e-ssay dated May 22, 2006 and the article entitled “Who's Afraid of Presidential Signing Orders” by Stanley Fish in the February 4, 2007 edition of “The New York Times”]. 

A recent executive order requires each agency to establish a “regulatory policy office run by a political appointee” that “strengthens the hand of the White House in shaping rules that have, in the past, often been generated by civil servants and scientific experts.”  The agencies are becoming outposts of the White House.  Someone should monitor the organization charts for later repair.

The trial of I. Lewis “Scooter” Libby is intriguing and filled with intrigue.  Truth may emerge.  Some justice may be done.  A Bush pardon?  Stay tuned.

“Man is impacting the environment.”–The science jocks.  Now the economists, moral philosophers and the public must join the debate.
 
Bumper sticker of the week:

War is not working

[Molly Ivins died on January 31.  Her last column "Stand Up Against The Surge" is available at

www.creators.com/opinion/molly-ivins/stand-up-against-the-surge.html.  She concludes in part:  "We are the people who run this country.  We are the deciders.  And every single day, every single one of us needs to step outside and take some action to help stop this war.  Raise hell.  Think of something to make the ridiculous look ridiculous.  Make our troops know we're for them and trying to get them out of there.  Hit the streets to protest Bush's proposed surge.  If you can, go to the peace march in Washington on Jan. 27.  We need people in the streets, banging pots and pans and demanding, 'Stop it, now!'"]

The Charge of The Light Brigade (January 29, 2007)

Posted in Bush, Iraq, Military on January 29, 2007 by e-ssay.org

Bush is in a hole and is digging deeper; he is digging even more graves.  The troops are being sacrificed because of arrogance, cowardice and stupidity.  Of the 21,500 or more troops to be condemned, there are likely to be 600 casualties.  About 70 to 80 likely will die.  There is a 7 to 1 ratio of severe wounds to deaths.  About 490 to 560 brave Americans will be severely wounded.  600 towns, 600 families, 600 moms, 600 dads, and innumerable wives, husbands, sisters, brothers, daughters, sons, grandmoms, granddads, nieces, nephews, cousins, and friends.

“. . .

Forward, the Light Brigade!”
Was there a man dismay’d?
Not tho’ the soldier knew
Someone had blunder’d:
Their’s not to make reply,
Their’s not to reason why,
Their’s but to do and die:
Into the valley of Death
Rode the six hundred.

. . .”

–Sir Alfred, Lord Tennyson, Memorializing Events in the Battle of Balaclava, 25 October, 1854, Written in 1854

And likely 6000 dead and wounded Iraqis.

Bumper stickers of the week:

Reason why

Would you send your child?

Tombstones as Milestones: Do Body Counts Count? (January 22, 2007)

Posted in Iraq, Military on January 22, 2007 by e-ssay.org

Another tombstone was reached recently, the current box score from the Crusade in Iraq: 3000 flag-draped coffins slipped into Dover, Delaware using the cover of darkness.  The travesty is justified by new twists on the time-dishonored and twisted “Body Count.”

A nation has a monopoly on the use of violence to advance public concerns.  Under international law, a soldier serving a nation may only take another soldier out of combat (the “hors de combat” rule).  A soldier who is “out of the fight” is one incapable of performing in a military capacity which includes the wounded, sick, disabled or detained.  According to the laws of war, they are accorded special protection including POW (prisoner of war) status. 

In Vietnam, the title to real estate changed daily depending on the time of day.  The U.S. owned the village at 1400 hours; the V.C. owned the village at 0200 hours.  It took a village in the morning and relinquished it at night.  A new benchmark of success emerged — the Body Count.  The number of dead and wounded became the “goals” and “assists” of the game.  These benchmarks of success contradicted international law, yet they became the only daily measure of success reported on the nightly news.

In Iraq, the body count has been further perverted.  Some commentators are saying that the body count of fallen Americans must be kept in perspective relative to other conflicts.

Comparisons are made to the invasion at Normandy or the battle of Antietam.

Comparisons are made to deaths in Vietnam (58,000 KIA) or to Korea (54,000 KIA).  Americans, KIA.  That does not include others killed and wounded.  

Comparisons are made to World War II.  Some note that the United States got into and out of that war in less time than it has spent invading and occupying and destroying Iraq.

Comparisons are made to the number of individuals lost in the Twin Towers.  The comparison is advanced by those who seem to suggest some connection between Iraq and the “war on terrorism.”  Should half the lives that were lost in the Twin Towers or twice as many lives that were lost be an acceptable target?

Comparisons are not made to the number of Iraqi dead and wounded.  On October 12, 2006, an updated study was published in the British medical journal “The Lancet” which found that between 393,000 and 943,000 excess deaths have occurred in the 2003 invasion and its aftermath.  The study estimates the likely figure to be 655,000.  That number seems high.  No one disputes that the actual number, whatever it is, is way too high.

The United Nations recently reported that more than 34,000 Iraqis were killed violently in 2006.  Prior estimates were much lower.

Keep it in perspective, some say, because not that many Americans have really died in Iraq.  Not to worry, they say, everything is relative.  Everything is not relative.  Particularly to those who have lost a relative.  They cannot relate.  Too many Americans have died in Iraq; too many Americans have been wounded in Iraq; too many Iraqis have died in Iraq; too many Iraqis have been wounded in Iraq.  The Body Count keeps adding up; the Body Count does not add up.

[See the e-ssay dated February 27 entitled "The Arithmetic of Futility"].

[See the count of war casualties at www.iCasualties.org.]

Bumper sticker of the week:

Think  It’s Patriotic

Bush Escalates World War III (January 15, 2007)

Posted in Bush, Iran, Iraq on January 15, 2007 by e-ssay.org

“The war in Vietnam is but a symptom of a far deeper malady within the American spirit, and if we ignore this sobering reality, we will find ourselves organizing ‘clergy and laymen concerned’ committees for the next generation.  They will be concerned about Guatemala and Peru.  They will be concerned about Thailand and Cambodia.  They will be concerned about Mozambique and South Africa.  We will be marching for these and a dozen other names and attending rallies without end unless there is a significant and profound change in American life and policy.  So such thoughts take us beyond Vietnam, but not beyond our calling as sons of the living God.”

–Martin Luther King, Jr., “Beyond Vietnam,” Clergy and Laity Concerned at Riverside Church, April 4, 1967.

“Succeeding in Iraq also requires defending its territorial integrity and stabilizing the region in the face of extremist challenge.  This begins with addressing Iran and Syria.  These two regimes are allowing terrorists and insurgents to use their territory to move in and out of Iraq.  Iran is providing material support for attacks on American troops.  We will disrupt the attacks on our forces.  We will interrupt the flow of support from Iran and Syria.  And we will seek out and destroy the networks providing advanced weaponry and training to our enemies in Iraq.

. . .

We are also taking other steps to bolster the security of Iraq and protect American interests in the Middle East.  I recently ordered the deployment of an additional carrier strike group to the region.  We will expand intelligence sharing and deploy Patriot air defense systems to reassure our friends and allies.  We will work with the governments of Turkey and Iraq to help them resolve problems along their border.  And we will work with others to prevent Iran from gaining nuclear weapons and dominating the region.”

–Emperor George W. Bush, Address to the nation, January 10, 2007.

Bush is escalating his own World War III.  Bush has lost in Iraq; with the ascendancy of the Shiites, Iran is winning in Iraq; Bush is now planning to lose in Iran.  What has not worked in Iraq is now going to be implemented in Iran and Syria.  There are two truths about the escalation surge in Iraq:

1) Those who have been wrong all along about Iraq are in favor of the escalation surge.

2) Those who have been right all along or have come to recognize what is right are against the escalation surge.  

Bush will get his additional troops despite and in spite of the efforts by some in Congress to reduce the American presence.  Any available Marines and Army troops should be deployed to Afghanistan; the National Guard to the Gulf (of Mexico).  The danger is that Bush is taking action that provides Iran with a moral and legal justification to escalate the situation in the Middle East.  Bush is seeking to provoke a plausible provocation for war.  He seeks to manufacture a “Gulf Of Tonkin” incident to justify doing what he intends to do without justification.  The United States must not invoke the doctrine of “hot pursuit” to justify an invasion into Iran by the additional troops being sent to Iraq.  The United States must defuse Iran without stepping foot on Iranian ground.  At this time, the United States is losing ground and is losing the high ground.

There must be a plan to get out of Iraq immediately because events will force America to “cut and run” without dignity later this year.  American units are likely to be pinned down and beyond anything but limited aerial support.  “Remember Saigon, April, 1975″ must be the mantra in 2007.  When America is forced to abandon personnel and posts in Iraq, much of America’s technology also will fall into unfriendly hands.  The technology can be reverse-engineered and manufactured.  The United States should declare victory and redeploy to bases in the region.   

There are alternative approaches discussed in an e-ssay that references a lengthy essay by George S. McGovern and William R. Polk.  [See the e-ssay dated October 30].  The plan is discussed in their book, “Out of Iraq:  A Practical Plan for Withdrawal Now.”  The Iraqi Civil War cannot be stopped by American force or American forces.  [See the e-ssay dated April 17].  There is no course of action that will prevent bloodshed except possibly very subtle diplomacy involving every country and player in the Middle East to engage the Sunnis and Shiites and Kurds in a careful balance of power/terror.

Iran has issues with American actions taken in 1953; America with Iranian actions taken in 1979.  Despite this history of conflict and distrust, the situation in Iran requires a diplomatic not a military solution.  There is a percolating civil war within Iran.  The United States must not invade Iran and thereby unite the populace against the invader.  The U.S. must enlist the support of the largely young and secular population in Iran that prefers to carry an iPod rather than an AK, to use a cell phone to text messages rather than to trigger bombs, and to drive a Honda rather than to dynamite a Hummer.  That is the way to neutralize the militant forces in Iran and to bring some stability to the Middle East and even Iraq.  Out-think, out-wit and out-maneuver.

Bumper sticker of the week:

Iran is Persian for Vietnam

Corrections, Additions, Observations and Errors In Progress (January 8, 2007)

Posted in Bush, Iraq, Society on January 8, 2007 by e-ssay.org

World War III d.b.a. (doing business as) Iraq can and is getting worse.  Too many humans are being stuffed in graves (now 3000 U.S. dead) while the situation on the ground is deteriorating.  The proposal for a “surge” in troops is counterproductive, preposterous and absurd.  The surge will only inspire the insurgents.  The United States cannot define victory in Iraq and cannot achieve victory even with a surge of one half million troops over ten years.  Some of the money earmarked for that doomed and futile effort should be used to address the consequences of the storm surge in Louisiana in 2005.  Bush will make a statement about Iraq this week.  The populace made a statement in November, yet it may be disregarded until the public speaks more clearly and loudly.

2006 was the year of World Nuclear Proliferation.  The “Bush Doctrine” directly and indirectly promotes the development of nuclear technology and greatly increases the likelihood of nuclear war.  [See the e-ssay dated March 27].  There are some efforts to secure nuclear technology produced by the former Soviet Union, yet far from enough in light of the danger.  Use of a tactical nuclear today is more likely than ever in the past.

The Duke lacrosse situation is another reminder that we should all embrace the presumption of innocence rather than pre-judge a situation and spew prejudices.  Commentators of all political stripes made some not so innocent presumptions. 

Cheney’s hunting incident provided copious copy and commentary.  Spend enough time in the field and someone will be out of position.  The shooting was accidental.  The cover up was intentional.

George “Cowboy” Allen, a former Republican Senator from Virginia, made a buffoon (baboon) of himself on international tv.  YouTube caught him being himself.  YouTube allows you to tube your career and reputation all by yourself.  “Down the tube” takes on a new meaning.

Some of the e-ssays require correction or addition.  The world is not likely to see the emergence of true “Caliphates” because the pulls of sect, region, country, province, village, tribe, clan, family and side of the street are too strong.  [See the e-ssay dated September 25].  No one will agree on one or two Caliphs.  There are more likely to be spheres of influence in Shiite Iraq/Iran/Hezbollah Lebanon and in Sunni Iraq/Saudi Arabia/Jordan.  The competition between and among them for hegemony will create even more instability. 

Increasing the federal minimum wage may not impact employment as negatively as the theorists suggest because 1) many states have enacted higher minimum wages already, and 2) many employers must pay higher wages to attract qualified workers in the current marketplace.  [See the e-ssay dated July 31].  [See the article "The Right Minimum Wage" by George F. Will dated January 4 on page A17 in "The Washington Post"].

Other birthdays in 2006 – the Suez Crises, the Hungarian revolt, the development of containerized shipping.  [See the e-ssays dated July 10 and June 19].

Bumper sticker of the year for 2006:

Iraq is Arabic for Vietnam 

Gettysburg and Iraq (October 30, 2006)

Posted in Iraq on October 30, 2006 by e-ssay.org

Imagine if the French had marched onto the battlefield at Gettysburg to impose order.  “Mon dieu, mon ami, how dare you fight.”  The Blue and the Gray would have united and turned on the invaders in a New York minute.  The leaders of both sides went to the same school (West Point) and were versed in the tactics and strategy of Jomini (and perhaps Clausewitz).  The boys would have coordinated a campaign to drive the French all the way back to a strip mall south of Marseille.  Then the brothers would have gotten back to the business of engaging in an unnecessary but somehow inevitable civil war.  [See the e-ssay dated April 17, 2006 entitled "The Virtues of an Iraqi Civil War."].

The United States cannot stop the sectarian violence/civil war in Iraq even with a million troops.  The United States is training troops and police who will disperse and join their respective sects in the great Iraqi civil war.  All of them are attending “East Point” in Baghdad and later will be fighting against each other.  They will be reading from the same page, our page.   

Bush told us that we needed to take the war to them; they took it to us and are taking it to us.  Sports metaphors are a Republican favorite.  Fighting in a distant country sounds plausible, but why fight an away game?  The game in Iraq has slowly sapped America’s resources and will to fight.  The military card has been played and played out.  Now a million man march is underway bringing a million broken men and women back to the home front.  The retreat will have tremendous negative consequences for the military and thus the country for another generation.

The argument against immediate withdrawal is that the Terrorists are a united group of individuals conducting weekly board meetings according to Robert’s Rules of Order.  If “we” tell “them” when “we” are going to leave, “they” will pass a resolution to wait until “we” leave to start causing trouble.  The Terrorists are not at all concerned about American timetables.  They continue to attack the Crusader without delay or discouragement.  Someone in the region observed that the West has all the clocks and they (Terrorists/Insurgents/Separatists/Jihadists/Provincial War Lords/Freedom Fighters) have all the time.  That reality is unacceptable to Americans, so they don’t accept it.

Bush cannot figure out if “they” hate freedom or if “they” love freedom.  They seek order.  They endured a form of totalitarian order for decades.  The consequences of the American Crusade were predicted and remain predictable.  America created disorder and can do nothing to create order.  A continued American presence will only perpetuate and inflame the disorder. 

Some say that Europe never recovered completely after World War I.  America will never recover completely after Bush’s World War III, regardless of its outcome.  The only road to partial recovery is to redeploy American troops from Iraq. 

Bumper sticker of the week:

If you’re not appalled, you’re not paying attention  

[See the Essay entitled "The Way Out Of War" by George S. McGovern and William R. Polk in the October, 2006 issue of Harper's Magazine.] 

Spiraling Into The Dirt (October 2, 2006)

Posted in Bush, Foreign Policy, Iraq, Torture on October 2, 2006 by e-ssay.org

Congress approved Bush’s efforts to encourage terrorists to torture Americans.  [See the e-ssay dated January 31, 2005 "Bush:  Torture our kids, s'il vous plait"].  America has now effectively repudiated key provisions of the Geneva Conventions and the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaties, treaties that served America well in the past.

Bob Woodward chronicles the tortuous haranguing in the House of Hubris in his book, State of Denial:  Bush at War, Part III.  Parts I and II missed the material finally coalesced and analyzed in Part III.  Bush always intended to invade Iraq.  His invasion on March 19, 2003 triggered World War III.  That war continues to expand in ways that are not fully comprehended.  There are two overriding concerns in the White House:  1) do not draw any comparisons between Iraq and Vietnam, and 2) do not use the phrase “civil war” under any circumstances.  [See the e-ssay dated March 6, 2006 entitled "Support Our Troops . . . Return" and the e-ssay dated March 20, 2006 entitled "The (Unreal) March Madness."]

Forbes Magazine’s 400 richest Americans is constituted only of those worth a billion ($1,000,000,000.00).  No one is worth a billion dollars.  A single family home can now be had for $100,000,000.00 ($100 million).  Even if one can obtain a no-interest loan to purchase one of these abodes, the monthly payment exceeds the recommended 30 percent limit of monthly income that a prudent person should commit to housing.  Almost everyone is already spending too much for housing every month.  And yet median household earnings are flat.

The stock market is going through the roof.  There are not as many new roofs going up nationwide.  The declining housing market will reduce the “wealth effect” that individuals feel when the value of their home rises which will reduce consumer spending which will depress the stock market in the near future.

Nobel Prize recipients are announced this week.  They are worth a million.  There are still individuals out there contributing to the public good.

Is the GOP now the Gay Old Party or the Grand Old Pedophiles?  Too many contemporary Republicans seek to get into one’s bedroom.  Too many Republicans cannot be left alone with children of either gender.  We do not need to take a page from the Republicans; we need to take all the pages from the Republicans.  Congressman Foley (R) is not an exception.  Slow the terrorism against kids.

Bumper sticker of the week:

January 21, 2009

End of an Error

Staying the Collision Course In Iraq and The Mid-East (September 25, 2006)

Posted in Bush, Foreign Policy, Iraq, Middle East on September 25, 2006 by e-ssay.org

The U.S. invasion of Iraq has increased, not decreased, the terror threat, according to the “National Intelligence Estimate” on “Trends in global Terrorism” released in the New York Times yesterday.  The U.S. has taken the fight to them; they have taken the fight to us.

American forces are becoming fragmented in various deployments within Iraq.  At some later date, they may be able to hide in the fortresses being built throughout Iraq.  Halliburton/KBR are building Fort Dick, Fort Condi, Fort Rummy, and Fort Wolfie.  Until they can hide, the Americans may be overrun in some outposts and left without supplies or reinforcements.  America can mount a Berlin Airlift to provide some support for some time, but not forever.

Black Hawk Down writ large may develop.  America may be forced to flee Iraq whether the civilian military leadership decides to cut and run or is forced to cut and run.  Squads and platoons may not make the departing flights.  Recall Saigon in April, 1975.  The prospect of a humiliating defeat and hasty departure grows every day.  America must declare victory and redeploy with purposeful dignity to friendlier soil or the United States.  The collective military must go on r & r to have any chance of projecting a military and a diplomatic presence in the region and in the world in the near future.

There is no end to the unexpected twists and unintended consequences in the Mideast.  Baghdad could become Hussein City in the next ten years.  Tourists may have their picture taken in front of the plinth that supported the Saddam statue.  The son or daughter of an Iraqi refuge may be the valedictorian at West Point.  Or more likely Iraq will be divided with regions incorporated into the Shiite Caliphate and into the Sunni Caliphate and into an expanded Kurdistan region.  The United States should not try to dictate the future in Iraq because it can not dictate the future in Iraq.  The world will watch Americas defeat on CNN and tape it on TiVo.  It is time to think clearly.  It is time to get out.

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