Archive for the Middle East Category

“Fiat Stock”: Taking Stock Of The Stock Market (May 16, 2011)

Posted in "Fiat ______", Middle East, Stock Market on May 16, 2011 by e-commentary.org

. . .

?          “Let me get this right.  Once the stock is initially offered, typically to a few connected individuals and institutions on the Inside, the company does not receive any of the money from any subsequent stock sales?”

!           “Right.  The shares are bets by individuals and institutions.  The holder of the stock may receive some dividends that are taxed as ordinary income.  However, the holder of the stock is gambling on the market decreeing that the stock is worth more because the company is somehow worth more.  Some individuals and institutions on the Inside get information called ‘inside information’ that allows them to buy the stock before those on the Outside learn that something happened earlier that makes the stock more valuable now.  The holder of the stock is counting on a pension fund or endowment or widow or other Outsider being there to buy the stock at a higher price.”

?          “To get the dividends?”

!           “At least a dividend is something.  The big score is to sell the stock at a higher price to someone who did not have the ‘inside information’.”

?          “But what is the stock really worth?”

!           “Who knows.  The government and the Fed could double the supply of money/money electrons and give the stuff to those on the Inside to spend.  Then the aggregate stock prices would roughly double.  That is particularly true today when there really are no other viable competing investments.”

?          “But what is the stock really worth?”

!           “Does it really matter.  You’re on the Outside.  Don’t ask too many questions.  Play along.  Just because it is your future does not mean that it is not a game.  The key is knowing when to hold ‘em and when to fold ‘em.”

?          “While you only have ‘outside information’ to guide your gamble?  And then if you actually win anything, you convert the stock into ‘fiat money’?”

!           “Or convert it into ‘fiat gold’ or ‘fiat silver.’  It’s that simple.”

?          “But what is it really worth?”

. . .

Bumper stickers of the week:

Trust Me

Have Faith

George Mitchell Resigns ; Middle East Hopeless

Peace In Palestine? (March 10, 2008)

Posted in Middle East on March 10, 2008 by e-commentary.org

Peace in Palestine is impossible.  Both the Palestinians and the Israelis have compelling moral, historical and legal claims to the same land.  Neither is yielding its position.  Neither has any reason to yield its position.

Pick a time in the past and select a country or region.  The Jews seem always to have been shunned, beaten, harassed, oppressed, dispossessed, ostracized, stigmatized, denigrated, disregarded and treated unkindly.  Those experiences shape one’s world view.

The government-sponsored, institutional, corporate, mechanized, franchised torturing and killing machine in business in Germany and other occupied countries between the middle 1930s and 1945 was unprecedented in its scope, duration and depravity.  Those experiences dominate one’s world view.  (Those horrors are being and will be replicated on this planet).

The logic of existence in the Middle East today is so desperately human.  The Palestinians proclaim:  “I kill, therefore I am.”  The Israelis proclaim:  “I kill, therefore I am.”  No one in the Middle East does more than kill and subsist.  Everyone is spiritually dead.  If they looked in a mirror, they would not see a reflection.

The Palestinians are engaging in techniques and tactics first pioneered by the American colonists in their battles against the British.  If the United States provided them F-22s, they would be able to fight on a level playing field.

The Wall is a monument to failure, a bill board advertising hopelessness.

The Jewish Lobby in America (American Israel Public Affairs Committee, et al.) is powerful and is equaled only by the influence of AARP (American Association for Retired People) and the NRA (National Rifle Association).

The single greatest source of resentment in America that often leads to a distrust of Semitism is the widely understood perception that no on can criticize the Jewish Lobby publicly without being pilloried and crucified.

Jimmy Carter committed the Sin of Truth.  He discusses the Apartheid in Palestine and is condemned and excoriated.  Few have the courage to support him.

Note the religions of the members of the foreign policy elite.  There are not enough Unitarians, Buddhists, Quakers and Shakers among the movers and shakers.  (Richard “Tricky Dick” Nixon was born a Quaker and followed some of its precepts at times in his life.  The most prominent example is admittedly not very convincing.)  Pacifists are activists in their communities, but they are not heard nationally.

The money that Americans have been borrowing from the Chinese and others and transferring to unfriendly regimes to acquire oil will be used to acquire media outlets in America in the future.  A foreign government, a “Sovereign Wealth Fund,” will offer real money for a publication such as the Wall Street Journal.  The next Rupert Murdoch with 5 billion in his pocket will sit across the table from someone who can bid 10, 15, 20 billion, whatever it takes.  When media control changes, perceptions in America will change.  Not necessarily for the better.  An imbalance of information and influence in the other direction is dangerous.  Equipoise is not likely.

Life is often portrayed as a battle between David and Goliath.  Life is usually a battle between David and David, one underdog battling another underdog.  Two underdogs are at war in the Middle East.

The current most powerful nation, the Goliath, is a super power slipping into second world status (measured by: infant mortality rates; percentage of the population in prison; percentage of the population which is not counted as unemployed because they are not even looking for work; spiritual and economic deficits, etc.)  With the rise of Asia and other Middle East nations, the United States may not be in a position to protect Israel in the intermediate run.

The killing will go on until the inevitable tectonic shifts of power in this century play out with uncertain consequences.

Bumper sticker of the week:

There are no unwounded civilians

Staying the Collision Course In Iraq and The Mid-East (September 25, 2006)

Posted in Bush, Foreign Policy, Iraq, Middle East on September 25, 2006 by e-commentary.org

The U.S. invasion of Iraq has increased, not decreased, the terror threat, according to the “National Intelligence Estimate” on “Trends in global Terrorism” released in the New York Times yesterday.  The U.S. has taken the fight to them; they have taken the fight to us.

American forces are becoming fragmented in various deployments within Iraq.  At some later date, they may be able to hide in the fortresses being built throughout Iraq.  Halliburton/KBR are building Fort Dick, Fort Condi, Fort Rummy, and Fort Wolfie.  Until they can hide, the Americans may be overrun in some outposts and left without supplies or reinforcements.  America can mount a Berlin Airlift to provide some support for some time, but not forever.

Black Hawk Down writ large may develop.  America may be forced to flee Iraq whether the civilian military leadership decides to cut and run or is forced to cut and run.  Squads and platoons may not make the departing flights.  Recall Saigon in April, 1975.  The prospect of a humiliating defeat and hasty departure grows every day.  America must declare victory and redeploy with purposeful dignity to friendlier soil or the United States.  The collective military must go on r & r to have any chance of projecting a military and a diplomatic presence in the region and in the world in the near future.

There is no end to the unexpected twists and unintended consequences in the Mideast.  Baghdad could become Hussein City in the next ten years.  Tourists may have their picture taken in front of the plinth that supported the Saddam statue.  The son or daughter of an Iraqi refuge may be the valedictorian at West Point.  Or more likely Iraq will be divided with regions incorporated into the Shiite Caliphate and into the Sunni Caliphate and into an expanded Kurdistan region.  The United States should not try to dictate the future in Iraq because it can not dictate the future in Iraq.  The world will watch Americas defeat on CNN and tape it on TiVo.  It is time to think clearly.  It is time to get out.

The Zero Sum Game in the Mideast/World (August 21, 2006)

Posted in Bush, Middle East on August 21, 2006 by e-commentary.org

Hezbollah:  0                (or + 1/4 ?)

Israel:  0                       (or – 1/4 ?)

Iran:  0                          (or + 1/8 ?)

United States:  0          (or – 1/4 ?)

Britain:  0

North Korea:  1

China:  2

Darfur:  -1

The Free World:  -9

It does not add up.

Bush responds by declaring that Hezbollah lost.  He is inspiring them.  We don’t need him to challenge them to “Bring it on.”  They will.  Napoleon is said to have observed: “If you start to take Vienna, take Vienna.”  Israel took Vienna and got taken.  Nietzsche is said to have said: “That which does not kill me only makes me stronger.”  Among Hezbollah and their cohorts, that which kills them only makes them stronger.  As a policy, dropping bombs is bombing.         

The United States is one of the few if not the only country that can broker a resolution. Bush is focused on escalating hostilities.  Bush triggered World War III.  Bush has abandoned his command and repeated that the next president must clean up his mess.  This situation could be considered disquieting.   

World War III Escalates As Proxies Participate (July 24, 2006)

Posted in Bush, Middle East on July 24, 2006 by e-commentary.org

Members of Hezbollah crossed a border they dispute.  That creates a challenge.  That action provided an excuse for Israel to do what it sought to do for some time.  Israel’s response is obscenely and criminally out of proportion to the provocation.  The U.S. sits and watches its proxy battle Iran’s proxy in this first round.  Condi Rice is busy buying shoes while babies die.  Israel may now have created its own Vietnam/Iraq.  Israel is reading from the failed American play book and uniting its many enemies and dividing its few allies.  Both America and Israel have lost the moral high ground as they have descended into the swamp. 

When a person sees no hope in life, he often does one of three things:  he 1) kills others, 2) kills himself, or 3) kills others and then kills himself.  There is no hope for many in the Mideast today.  Their reaction to their plight is logical and predictable.  America and Israel must deliver hope not ordinance.  The behavior in the Mideast is a corollary of the “flight or fight” response experienced by all threatened animals.  If they cannot flee, they will fight.  There is no place to run.  Any time you have someone cornered, you are caught in the same corner.  Few acknowledge that the chemical components in the tears of a Lebanese mother and an Iraqi mother and a Palestinian mother and an Israeli mother and an American mother are identical.  Hydrogen 2, Oxygen 1, Grief 10.  There is at least one seven year old boy who will survive the killing and dedicate his life to seeking revenge at any cost.  Events are quickly overcoming everyone.      

(On July 19, Bush vetoed the stem cell research bill that would have allowed surplus embryos from fertility clinics to be used for scientific research rather than tossed in the rubbish can.  Bush used his first veto to deprive others of hope.  The “pro-life” president vetoed life for many of the living.)  

(July 23 is the four year anniversary of the meeting reflected in the document described as the “Downing Street Minutes/Memo.”  The document exposes the lies and self-deception underpinning America’s invasion of Iraq.  See www.afterdowningstreet.org.)