Archive for January, 2025

DeepSeek-R1!  Sputnik Moment?  Paradigm Shift?  Black Swan?  Genie / Bottle? (January 27, 2025)

Posted in China, Internet, Technology on January 27, 2025 by e-commentary.org

. . .

K          “A new, free, open-source, large language model?  Holy smokes!”

J          “Holy Toledo!  Seems from the early reports that the cost of training and developing DeepSeek’s model is only a small fraction of what is required for OpenAI or Meta Platform Inc.’s best products?  And available to everyone for free?  Say what?”

. . .

J          “The big American monopolists have invested massive amounts of money in hardware and energy centers that now may be less important if freely available software will do the trick.  They will lose huge monopolistic margins.  They will not be amused.”

K          “What appears to be a gift to the people of the world is also an existential threat to western financial interests.”

. . .

. . .

K          “Will the Deep State deep six DeepSeek?”

J          “The country that considers itself the greatest democracy is threatened by a program or protocol that democratizes artificial intelligence.”

. . .

J          “Stay tuned.”

. . .

Bumper stickers of the week:

Will the Deep State deep six DeepSeek?

Stay tuned

Le Big Day.  Oh, And Happy MLK Day! (January 20, 2025)

Posted in Presidency, Trump on January 20, 2025 by e-commentary.org

. . .

J          “The use of Executive Orders seems akin to a dog marking its territory.  With great consequence.”

K          “Trump marked his territory and remarked what Biden had unmarked.  Biden had marked his territory and unmarked what Trump had marked.  You can mark their words.”

J         “It is a dog-mark-dog world.”

. . .

K          “We may each hear what we want to hear.  I did hear him celebrating freedom of speech and the rule of law and the possibility of peace sprinkled among some of the other dross and red meat he announced.”

J          “He has not left the campaign trail.  His screed was a full contact frontal ‘shock and awe’ assault on the status quo.”

. . .

J          “Not much about China.  China is the challenge.  China will define his administration.”

K          “You can say that again.”

J          “Not much about China.  China is the challenge.  China will define his administration.”

. . .

J          “The DEI movement was problematic and often unfairly discriminatory in practice.  However, the wholesale attack and dismantling of the programs is too wrenching.  Public and private programs must provide for everyone’s participation in society.”

K          “His broad attacks on LGBTQ+ concerns are too sweeping.  Someone needs to find the reasonable common ground.”

J          “Americans of all stripes believe they can repudiate both physics and biology when reality is inconvenient or intrusive.  Trump and I – imagine that – and you – imagine that – accept biology and recognize that biological men and women are different when they walk out on the playing field, the pitch and the court.  However, some courts demand to repudiate this reality.”     

. . .

K          “I am pleased he kept his word and commuted and pardoned the January 6 defendants.  I have trouble with the release of those who had committed violent acts and/or destroyed property.  However, with time it is clear that the entire undertaking was a grand cynical entrapment by the Democrats.  Convictions are tossed out when the prosecution is tainted.  The pardons are in effect a repudiation and an indictment of the entire Democratic political and legal machine.  Biden’s pardon of the J6 Committee is a clear acknowledgment that the members and its henchman were involved in a dishonest and fraudulent enterprise.”

J          “Trump’s pardons are disgusting.  There is no law.  Biden’s pardons were necessary and appropriate.”

K          “Is there even one person in America who has the knowledge and the wisdom and the perspective and the maturity and the independence to chronicle the events of J6 honestly and objectively?  Future historians will write whatever is necessary to obtain tenure.”

J          “If there is tenure.”

. . .

K          “What about Biden’s pardon of the other members of the Biden crime family?  If they accept the pardon, they are admitting culpability.  Back to the books for a read of Burdick v. United States, 235 U.S. 79 (1915).”

J          “Trump has made it clear that the Biden family would have been unfairly pursued and prosecuted.”

K          “On the basis of the available public information, there is no doubt that the government could have secured criminal indictments against each one of the Bidens.”

J          “Just a political vendetta.”

K          “Someone has argued for some time that the Lawfare would circle around.”

. . .

J          “It is and will always be Denali.”

K          “Yup.”

J          “Denali, Alaska has a nice ring and subtle cadence.  As I recall, ‘Denali’ is a Koyukon Athabascan word that means ‘big’ or ‘tall’ and ‘Alaska’ means ‘Mainland’ or ‘Greatland’ in some dialects.  Big, Great.  They pair well.”

K          “Denali, Alaska is also a pleasing six-word memoir.”

. . .

J          “Here be dragons.”

. . .

[See the e-commentary at Cheney/Bush v. Trumpi:  Crime Families Battling On The Big Stage (August 22, 2022) and Let Lawfare Continue!  And Let War With Russian Escalate! (June 3, 2024).]

Bumper stickers of the week:

“We will measure our success not only by the battles we win, but also by the wars that we end and, perhaps most importantly, the wars we never get into. My proudest legacy will be that of a peacemaker and unifier.  That’s what I want to be, a peacemaker and a unifier.”  Donald Trump, Inaugural Address.

“Hope springs eternal in the human breast.”  Alexander Pope

Here be dragons

Trump:  Now What? (January 13, 2025)

Posted in Debt/Deficits, FISA, Inflation, Tariffs, Trump on January 13, 2025 by e-commentary.org

. . .

K          “I do not think that even Trump knows exactly what he thinks.  Is he a nationalist or a globalist?  He has slipped Panama, Canada and Greenland into the public discourse.  Yet the Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan quagmires are expanding and exploding and may consume him and his administration.”  

J          “Vegas, the French Quarter and the LA Fires raise issues that are hard to put in perspective.”

. . .

K          “I have been wrong about what is called the ‘economy’ year after year after year after year.  However, I maintain that the Debt Black Hole is now too far out of control and will haunt and hobble his administration.”

J          “Extending the tax cuts will cost the public fisc something like 500 million dollars in each of the next ten years.  That will add up.”

K          “Inflation will continue for the foreseeable future.”

J          “Enacting tariffs will turbo charge inflation without necessarily spurring American manufacturing and production.  Any new plants will be automated.  Stay tuned.  Inflation may be the major election issue in 2026.”

. . .

 J         “I keep reminding and reassuring myself and others that he will break every one of his major promises.  He will not even propose making Social Security payments non-taxable.  No way.  His billionaire boys may reduce the actual payments.  He will not make overtime payments and tips non-taxable.  No way.  He will abandon the voters who will be even angrier at and more frustrated with the system.”

K          “I don’t disagree.  I told someone that his election postpones the revolution.  From another perspective, we are better off if he does break some of his promises.  Judging by his Cabinet nominees, he is breaking his promise to end the many wars of choice.”

. . .

K          “During the election, I saw some hope and change in the Kennedy Gabbard wing of the Trump Machine.  However, Tulsi Gabbard’s recent volte-face is the clearest reveal that reform is impossible.  You surely saw that she changed her stance regarding the unconstitutional government program that she once sought to repeal as she now fights for survival and confirmation.  So much for ending the section 702 authority that allows the government to track conversations involving foreigners without a warrant.”

J          “You should have known.  The real Trump 2.0 is emerging.  Don’t forget that many of the foreigners are engaged in illegal and dangerous activity.”

. . .  

K          “Let’s circle back at Thanksgiving and see if three phenomenon emerge this year.  Expanding wars.  Galloping inflation.  Deepening recession.”

J          “And metastasizing restiveness.  Let’s revisit the topic on November 24 or so.”

K          “World War III is now accelerating and this week in Romania.”

J          “Stay tuned.”

. . . 

K          “Looking and listening to others, I sense that many are disquieted and enervated by the uncertainty.”

. . .

[See the e-commentary at Time To MAAA:  Make America America Again? (September 30, 2024).]

Bumper stickers of the week:

Make America ??????? Again

Expanding wars?  Galloping inflation?  Deepening recession?

“We’re going to take out seven countries in five years, starting with Iraq, and then Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somali, Sudan and, finishing off, Iran.”  Wesley Clark

Stay tuned.

Boycott Red / Blue America?  (January 6, 2025)

Posted in Blue States / Red States on January 6, 2025 by e-commentary.org

. . .

K          “What do you do when you are neither Purple nor Red nor Blue?  I am at a stage and a place where I do not have a party or a gang or a tribe or a club or a clan or a squad or a refuge.  The situation leaves me blue.”

J          “Blue will still do.”

. . .

K          “Decades ago, I noted that if you are not what was once called a ‘liberal’ at the age of twenty, you did not have a heart; if you were not what was once called a ‘conservative’ at the age of forty, you did not have a head.  The admixture of  heart and head does not always produce predictable results.”

J          “Mugged by reality.  And actually mugged.  I have moved rightward on a few issues primarily economic and financial as I have moved through life.  The Blue core endures.”

. . .

K          “For decades, I self-indoctrinated by waking to NPR in the morning, listening all day and evening, and then slipping off to sleep at night with the radio still broadcasting.  I even assisted the NPR folks with money and time.  Thousands of hours and dozens of fundraisers later, something emerged and escaped.  Things did not add up.  There was and is much more to the story.”

J          “They are still a font of insight.”

. . .

K          “I have studied and observed every major institution.  They have failed and are failing.  I find that credit unions may be one of the few institutions working in America.” 

. . .

K          “I look back and wonder if I did not unwittingly take a ‘Red Pill’ along with my multivitamin and zinc every morning.”

J          “I don’t touch the ‘Blue Pill’, yet I still vote Blue.  There is no alternative.”

. . .

K          “I deeply understand how the world operates and who is in control.  I could not be more cynical about its prospects than ever.”

J          “Now we agree.”

. . .

J          “But Blue will still do, I tell you.”

K          “Not the current hue.”

. . .

[After years of tinkering with first drafts and contemplating the journey, the original “e-ssay” that kicked things off a score years ago appeared at Boycott Red America (January 3, 2005).  Based on the statistics, it has never been read by anyone other than the author.  One anniversary piece at Post Number 1000!  And Still Having Fun!  Oh, And Happy Post Number 1000! (November 18, 2024) looks back at the trek.  Today is the four-year anniversary of the event addressed last year in January 6:  The Country Needs An Impartial And Objective Inquiry (January 8, 2024) that revisited the initial discussion four years ago at On Riots And Rampages (January 11, 2021)).]

[See the e-commentary at The War On Truthful Journalism Marches On;  U.S. Carpet Bombing Propaganda And Censorship Campaign Rages On (August 1, 2022), N. Propaganda R. Transcribed:  “Get Vaccinated.  Attack Russia.”  Oh, And Happy Presidents’ Day! (February 21, 2022), Red State Medicine v. Blue State Medicine; Red Continent Medicine v. Blue Continent Medicine; WCH v. WHO (October 25, 2021), [Don’t] Support Public Media? (June 10, 2019), National People’s Radio?; National Public Radio?; National Petroleum Radio?; National Propaganda Radio? (June 11, 2018), Dispatches From The War On Journalism: The New “Nixon’s Enemies List” (December 5, 2016).]

Bumper stickers of the week:

We have met the enemy, and boy oh boy is he and she ever you and me.  Mr. Pogo.

“Wish I didn’t know now what I didn’t know then.”  Bob Seger, “Against the Wind”  (Someone suggested that Bob Seger regretted the syntax.  He crafted a perfect poem.  Not a word too many; not a word too few.  The two contractions are critical.  Wish I’d written it; what I can do is quote it.) 

Boycott Red [_] Blue [_] Other [_]

Jimmy Carter