Archive for the Epidemiology Category

Covid-19 PanICdemic:  It’s (Been) Here.  It’s The Aerosol That Kills! (March 9, 2020)

Posted in Covid / Coronavirus, Epidemiology on March 9, 2020 by

. . .

J          “The aerosolized particles are killing us.  Hand washing is fine.  Social distancing is a start, but we need much more, much distance.  The particles float around and live much longer than anyone realizes.”

K          “They say that we need to stay six feet apart or two meters if you live in a rational country with the metric system.  The idea that an area six feet and one inch away or two meters and two centimeters away is safe is unsafe, absurd and dishonest.  Any room is an oversized petri dish of disease.”

J          “The famous epidemiologist George Carlin’s observation ‘Isn’t making a smoking section in a restaurant like making a peeing section in a swimming pool?’ should inform us.”

. . .

J          “If you are a Republican, it is a hoax.  It you are a Democrat, it is a pox.”

K          “If you think it is a hoax, you are a Republican.  If you think it is a pox, you are a Democrat.”

. . .

K          “The country is incapacitatingly polarized.  If the Democrats proclaimed that the sun rises in the East, the Republicans would insist that it rises in the West.”

J          “However, I consulted with a congenital and unreconstructed Republican colleague who has not repudiated her medical training and is heroically sounding the alarm.” 

K          “Sounds like the old ‘Beans v. Bullets’ debate and division among preppers.  Tell me your political party, I’ll tell you your position on all the big issues.  I can tell if a person is going to buy an N95 or another 9 or a .45.”

J          “Her sentiments are offset by two quite reasonable and informed persons in two different settings who dismiss the Virus as a hoax along with global climate change.”

. . .    

J          “The reams of toilet paper are irrational but not surprising.  I understand the generation that wiped its way through Sears and Ward and Spiegel catalogs opting to file away piles of paper, but this generation has not seen that privation and should calibrate their real needs.”

K          “Someone suggested that when tragedy strikes, bowel movements spike.  Hoarding water in tiny unhealthy plastic bottles is as absurd as stockpiling during regular times.  I saw stacks of inexpensive buckets and barrels on the shelves that could be filled instead.  And then staged outside to collect rain water.”

J          “Putting aside a little chow is prudent and prescient.”

. . .

J          “The customers at my Costco were focused but edgy.”

K          “Edgy and focused at mine.  All it will take is a spark.  Sambucol, then hand sanitizer, then thermometers, then hydrogen peroxide, then rice, then beans, then wipes have almost disappeared.”

J          “The ‘Baltic Dry Index’ measures changes in the cost of transporting raw materials and the ‘Costco Dry Goods Index’ could measure an admixture of fear and preparation by the public.”

. . .

J          “The third time is a charm.  The real threat is that the virus is spread in a tiny aerosol form that allows it to sail through the body’s gauntlet of defense mechanisms, settle in the bottom of the lungs and drown someone from the inside.”

. . .

J          “The word ‘triage’ will trend and be trendy.  Consequential decisions must be made when an otherwise healthy but infected 18 year young requires a ventilator that is occupied by an 81 year old with multiple debilitating conditions.  If I present in the middle of the catastrophe even if I know the physicians who make the call, I will be denied care.”

K          “No question here.”

J          “In the hospital, they identify you by your birthday not by your social security number, so there is no question about your age and thus your entitlement to attention.”

. . .

J          “The real threat is lost in the discussions of hand washing and social distancing.  The droplets drop to the ground.  The tinier airborne aerosolized particles float in the air and contact far more people in a wider area for a longer period of time.  The real threat is that the virus is spread by these tiny aerosol particles that sail through the body’s gauntlet of defense mechanisms, settle in the bottom of the lungs and drown someone from the inside.”

. . .

[See the e-commentary at “Shop While They Drop – The $2.99 Sacrifice (May 7, 2007)”, “Beans and Bullets (April 6, 2009)” and “Globalization:  Colonization Without The Costs; Corporations Supplant Countries.  Oh, And Happy Bastille Day! (July 15, 2019)”.]

Bumper stickers of the week:

Flatten the curve

Don’t test, don’t tell!  It’s only the flu!

Keep calm and panic

“Isn’t making a smoking section in a restaurant like making a peeing section in a swimming pool?”  George Carlin

Flatten the curve.  At least it sounds like someone is doing something.

Covid-19 Pandemic:  Coming To A Town Near You (March 2, 2020)

Posted in Covid / Coronavirus, Epidemiology, Newspapers, Press/Media on March 2, 2020 by

. . .

J          “You are the only person in America who predicted the precise day that the market would start tanking.”

K          “Don’t let it get around, but I did so by predicting that the market would start tanking every day for the last one thousand and one days.”

J          “Seems that I should have abided the Valentine’s Day e-mail to ‘SELL, SELL, SELL’ immediately.”

. . .

J          “When the 3M N95 valved masks were no longer available, the government passed the word to tell the public they are not effective.” 

K          “You know that the government and the non-governmental agencies are lying at just about every opportunity, but the vexing problem is that the exact opposite of what the government is saying is not always the precise truth.”

. . .

K          “For decades, we discussed the three EEEs.  Sometimes it was energy, environment, economy, and sometimes it was environment, economy, energy and sometimes it was economy, energy, environment.”

J          “Epidemiology.”

K          “The four EEEEs.”

J          “In the new world, it may be epidemiology and energy and then epidemiology and environment and then epidemiology and economy.”

K          “And then epidemiology and epidemiology and epidemiology and epidemiology.”

. . .

K          “And America’s most profitable second-rate newspaper out of New York continues its unrelenting campaign to attack Sanders and to advance Biden while  presenting its inadequate and distorted coverage of the Virus ‘below the fold’ for weeks.”

J          “It is ‘The Times’ we live in today.  It is a time of greed not of greatness.”

K          “We live in an ‘Information Desert’ in an ocean of lies.  The lies of the WHO, CDC and NIH are parroted by the propagandists at the MSM, ABC, CNN, NBC, CBS, Faux FOX, MSNBC/DNC, NPR, PBS and others.”

. . .

K          “Think man had a hand in creating it?”

J          “Hands down.”

. . .

[See the e-commentary at “Honesty And Efficiency . . . In Life And Law (July 31, 2017)” and “Seeing 2020:  Covid-19:  BAU v. BAU (February 24, 2020)”.]

Bumper stickers of the week:

Covid-19 Pandemic f.d.b.a. Coronavirus:  Coming to a town near you

You can’t call it “Pandemic” unless it’s from the Pandemic region of France, otherwise it’s just Sparkling Flu.

“A human being should be able to change a diaper, plan an invasion, butcher a hog, conn a ship, design a building, write a sonnet, balance accounts, build a wall, set a bone, comfort the dying, take orders, give orders, cooperate, act alone, solve equations, analyze a new problem, pitch manure, program a computer, cook a tasty meal, fight efficiently, die gallantly.  Specialization is for insects.”  Robert A. Heinlein

“The most merciful thing in the world, I think, is the inability of the human mind to correlate all its contents.  We live on a placid island of ignorance in the midst of black seas of infinity, and it was not meant that we should voyage far.  The sciences, each straining in its own direction, have hitherto harmed us little; but some day the piecing together of dissociated knowledge will open up such terrifying vistas of reality, and of our frightful position therein, that we shall either go mad from the revelation or flee from the deadly light into the peace and safety of a new dark age.”  H.P. Lovecraft, “The Call of Cthulhu”