Archive for the AIIB Category

Dragon < Eagle > Bruin; Dragon + Bruin > Eagle (April 19, 2021)

Posted in AIIB, China, CIPS, Cryptocurrency, Currency, NATO, Petrodollar, Pushitzer Prize In Commentary, Russia, Sanctions, SWIFT on April 19, 2021 by e-commentary.org

[The announcement of the 2021 recipient of the Pushitzer Prize in Commentary is postponed from today to June 7, 2021.]

. . .

J          “China won; China one; U.S. none; U.S. done.  With each passing day, the Chinese military is outflanking the bloated pork barrel project that is the U.S. military without touching off a round or launching a missile.  CIPS is swiftly circuiting and circumventing SWIFT.  National currencies, gold, silver and cryptos are supplanting the PetroDollar.  Technology that was lifted is now legally acquired.  Critical resources that were purloined are now purchased.”

K          “For decades, the Eagle kept the Dragon and the Bruin in their corners.  Now the Dragon and the Bruin have found common ground to overcome their considerable differences, challenge their common enemy and push the Eagle into a corner it does not even recognize.  The vote in 2015 on the AIIB was the most revealing of the ultimate winner and the ultimate loser.”

. . .

K          “The U.S. is desperate to start and expand more wars and is looking to fight Russia or use proxies to fight Russia.  The Bruin is going to be a bear.”

J          “I am as uneasy about Russia as I am about China, but the U.S. should not go knocking on the Russian door and starting a fight on the Russian door step.  When I walked the streets in different cities, I was struck by the steely resolve of the people that is totally absent in the U.S.”

. . .

K          “Our goose is cooked.”

J          “We are dead ducks.”

. . .

[See the e-commentary on China at “Seeing 2020: Panda + Bruin > Eagle. Oh, And Happy Chinese New Year! (January 27, 2020)”, “China:  “The Silent Takeover” Overtakes Silently.  Oh, And Happy Chinese New Year! (February 4, 2019)”, “The China-Russia Affair: Advancing The Petro-Yuan; Dictating The Future (March 26, 2018)”, “AIIB: China: 1; U.S.A.: 0? (April 6, 2015)”, “The Silent Takeover (May 23, 2011)”, “The Odd Couple – China & The U. of S.A. (January 12, 2009)” and China, The 800(0) Lb. Panda (November 20, 2006)”.]

[See the e-commentary on Russia in particular on the inefficacy of sanctions at “Sanctions:  Stupid, Absurd, Futile?  Oh, And Happy Armistice Day / Remembrance Day / Veterans Day! (November 11, 2019)” and “Russian Interference; Russian Collusion (February 26, 2018)”.]

[See the e-commentary on the threat to world peace posed by NATO at “NATOExit? NATOExeunt? (July 4, 2016)”.]

Bumper sticker of the week:

Dragon < Eagle > Bruin; Dragon + Bruin > Eagle    

The China-Russia Affair: Advancing The Petro-Yuan; Dictating The Future (March 26, 2018)

Posted in AIIB, China, CIPS, Cryptocurrency, Currency, Cyberactivities, Gold, Guns, INE, International Finance, International Monetary Fund, Money, Russia, SDR - Special Drawing Rights, Second Amendment, Silver, Special Drawing Rights (SDR), Sports, SWIFT, World's Reserve Currency on March 26, 2018 by e-commentary.org

. . .

K          “In the past, the United States played and promoted with some skill the tension and animosity between China and Russia.  The United States has behaved so abysmally and monstrously that even the Chinese and the Russians are flirting with each other.”

J          “The enemy of my enemy is my friend.  Yet nations do not have enemies or friends, only interests.  They have allied to advance their common interests in confronting a common enemy.”

K          “When the United States drives the Chinese and Russians to embrace and play well together, the U.S. is in trouble.”

J          “The U.S. has proudly and defiantly positioned itself to be the world’s worst enemy.”

. . .

J          “The National Security Strategy document signed by President Trumpi on December 18 unwisely exacerbates the U.S. and China-Russia divide and further alienates the U.S. from the world.” 

K          “China is launching its crude oil futures contract today at the Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE).  China and Russia have been swiftly designing and perfecting a system described as the China Interbank Payment System (CIPS) to send and receive information about and to reconcile financial transactions.  The system will circumvent and ultimately undermine the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) controlled by the U.S.”

J          “They are also establishing the Petro-Yuan to replace the Petro-Dollar to facilitate transactions facilitated by the CIPS and to make investments funded by the Asia Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB).  That allows the Chinese and Russians, at the time of their choosing, to dump U.S. Treasuries and equities and buy up and demand the physical delivery of all gold and silver.  The Big Jolt will shift the geopolitical tectonic plates in a short time.”

K          “The U.S. will respond by dropping every bomb in its arsenal all at once everywhere and assassinating any leaders who challenge its hegemony.”

. . .

K          “The Chinese are building the One Belt One Road Initiative and uniting countries and continents, but the U.S. has a hard time tightening its economic belt and fixing one road.”

. . .

K          “The U.S. could do a whole lot more to slow or stop the wholesale theft of intellectual property by China.”

J          “His company was uneasy about filling the order from China for just a single unit.  Three years later, they discovered that an entire plant is producing dozens of them daily.”

K          “Now they do not even need to reverse engineer a product.  Just hack the computer and download the plans.”

J          “When Chinese technology was used to commandeer an American drone, I knew the situation was bleak.”

. . .

J          “A few weeks ago, someone on a lunch break called into a radio call-in show and questioned the genius of the U.S. strategy.”

K          “At some point, everyone will be calling in and asking why the prices at Walmart are suddenly what they were at Nordstroms the previous month.”

. . .

J          “The rest of the world may accept or be forced to accept a gold-backed currency for some time.  However, after securing control, the Sino-Russian Alliance will be free to impose a fiat cryptocurrency using something much more sophisticated than the rudimentary blockchain technology and perhaps a refined version of the Hashgraph technology.”

K          “But will the U.S. have enough bombs to drop on the rest of the world?”

. . .

K          “The Chinese and the Russians were playing chess and the U.S. was playing checkers; now the Sino-Russian Alliance is playing weiqi and Trumpi is playing tiddlywinks.”

J          “Trumpi is playing with himself and playing with our futures.  And they are playing doubles while the U.S. is playing singles.” 

. . .

[See “China plans to break petrodollar stranglehold” in “Asia Times” by Pepe Escobar dated December 21, 2017 and “The World Will Not Mourn The Decline of U.S. Hegemony” in “Truthdig” by Paul Street dated February 20, 2018.]

[See the e-commentary titled “World’s Reserve Currency War I = Cold War 2.0 = WW III (?) (September 8, 2014)”, “AIIB: China: 1; U.S.A. 0? (April 6, 2015)”, “The Mandibles, FRNs, SDRs, IMF, G20, WTD! (September 5, 2016)”, “USA + FRN/PD — > IMF + SDR — > NDB + UMU? The “Universal Monetary Unit” . . . Coming To a Planet Near You (January 2, 2017)” and “One World Currency? (January 8, 2018)”.]

Bumper stickers of the week:

Panda < Eagle > Bruin; Panda + Bruin > Eagle  

CIPS > SWIFT; AIIB > World Bank; INE > Brent + WTI; Petro-Yuan > Petro-Dollar:  [ergo] -> Panda + Bruin > Eagle.  Game, Set, Match.  Fin.

Currency Wars -> Trade Wars -> War Wars

America First -> American Last

Some signs at the “March For Our Lives” March on March 24:

Orange lies matter

Owner for reform

The scariest part of school should be a pop quiz

More 4.0 Less 5.56

We call BS

Hold handguns

When I grow up, I want to be alive

If I am killed by a gun, don’t bury me, just dump my body on the Capitol steps

Bullets are not school supplies

Enough / Bastante

My life is worth more than your guns

No more silence  End gun violence

Arm me with books not bullets

Need test to drive  Why not to shoot?

Protect kids not guns

Moms demand attention

Am I next?

Gun owner for gun control

No Rational Argument

21st century technology, 18th century laws

Too old to create change, step aside and we’ll do it

Never again

Some tweet  We march

NRA  Modern Day Mafia

Mental health not personal wealth

Respect our existence or expect our resistance

Thoughts Prayers Action

My students are more important than your guns

Enough is Enough

Mothers Against the NRA

#NeverAgain

USA + FRN/PD – – > IMF + SDR – – > NDB + UMU? The “Universal Monetary Unit” . . . Coming To a Planet Near You (January 2, 2017)

Posted in AIIB, Banks and Banking System, Book Reference, BRICS, CFETS, CIPS, Dollar - World's Reserve Currency, Gold, Gold Standard, Hyperdive Economic Collapse, International Finance, International Monetary Fund, Money, Petrodollar, SDR - Special Drawing Rights, Special Drawing Rights (SDR), Trade, Universal Monetary Unit, World's Reserve Currency on January 2, 2017 by e-commentary.org

. . .

K          “Remember way back on October 1 when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) implemented the modified composition of the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) that includes for the first time the Chinese Renminbi (RMB) along with the United States Dollar (FRN/PD), the Euro (€), the British Pound Sterling (£) and the Japanese Yen (¥) in the Great Valuation Basket?”

J          “Couldn’t forget.  To celebrate the transition, we got the entire day off.”

K          “The Federal Reserve Note/PetroDollar maintained its percentage share of the portfolio with the Euro, Pound and Yen yielding room for the new kid on the block.  The way I see it, the evolution of the SDR may be too slow for Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (the BRICS countries) and other countries (the BRICS+ countries) and still leaves the FRN/PD as the world’s reserve currency.”

J          “They say more countries are getting cranky that the FRN/PD remains the mandatory currency peg for trade on the global market.  Last Thursday, the China Foreign Exchange Trade System (CFETS), the foreign exchange trading platform operator, announced that it is adjusting the way it calculates the CFETS Yuan Index which is a critical measure of the Yuan against a basket of currencies, starting yesterday.”

K          “And you got the entire day off.” 

J          “And today, for good measure.  They say that the USA will not allow the IMF to revisit the composition of the SDRs again for years.  The problem for the BRICS+ countries is that the United States has veto power over the composition of the SDR and will block any attempt to accelerate the transition to incorporate other currencies.”

K          “Think about this possible scenario.  The BRICS+ countries may make an end run and expand the mandate and activities of what is now known as the New Development Bank (NDB) and create a Universal Monetary Unit (UMU) constituted of the Chinese RMB, Russian Ruble, Indian Rupee, South African Rand, Brazilian Real, good old gold (Alpha uniform) and a smorgasbord of other currencies.”     

J          “While they are at it, the South African Kruggerand could supplant the Rand and serve as the gold component or part of the gold component.”

K          “Who knows, when they do that, you may get the week off of work.”

J          “Count me in and count me off.  And to provide for a smoother transition, include in the new generation UMU the current currencies in the SDR in diluted amounts.  A measured and gradual approach is prudent.  Interdependent economies and unintended consequences, you know.”

K          “While they are at it, they could go full in.  The Cross-Border Inter-Bank Payment System sometimes known as the China Interbank Payment System (CIPS) could develop into a comparable transnational multilateral payment system as a complement to and to compete with the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT).”

J          “That’s exactly what I was going to suggest.  An economy needs a ‘thing’ to serve as money/currency/chits/script/wampum and a means to reconcile payments.  The BRICS+ countries have no reason to wait another half decade when they can do it themselves.”

. . .

J          “Or the BRICS+ countries may force the issue at the IMF meeting in Rome, District of Columbia on April 21 – 23.”

K          “And you will get at least two days off of work.”

J          “Can’t forget.  Stay tuned.”

. . .

K          “Someone surely has thought and wondered about these possible developments.”

J          “You think?  I wonder if anyone cares.  What’s on tv?”

. . .

[See the e-commentary at “The Mandibles, FRNs, SDRs, IMF, G20, WTD! (September 5, 2016)” and “Dollar – World’s Reserve Currency”.]

Bumper stickers of the week:

The “Universal Monetary Unit” . . . Coming To a Planet Near You

Paper [Money] Is Patriotic

Fight the War on Cash

 

AIIB: China: 1; U.S.A.: 0? (April 6, 2015)

Posted in ADB, AIIB, Banks and Banking System, China, Dollar - World's Reserve Currency, Foreign Policy, International Finance, Money, SDR - Special Drawing Rights, Sports, Supernova Dollar on April 6, 2015 by e-commentary.org

. . .

A          “International March Madness, I say.  Tracking the bracket was an all-consuming delight.  Looks like the final score is a soccer score which is appropriate for an international vote after weeks of intense hardball lobbying.  But not as close as the likely score on the hardwood tonight.”

B          “1 to 0 is a soccer score, 40 to 0 is not a soccer score or a basketball score or a hardball score, it is a resounding shutout.  The Chinese AIIB Selection Committee is still selecting the Final Forty.  They say the Prospective Founding Members are in Division I and the Regular Members are in Division II.”

A          “The first plebiscite on a nation by other nations in history.  The world is weary of American hegemony.”

B          “And arrogance and dominance.”

A          “The vote was not an anonymous voice vote, the world spoke with one voice.  The roll call is deafening.”

B          “The World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) do not say ‘American Bank’.  The Asian Development Bank (ADB) does not say ‘Japan Bank’.  The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) does not say ‘Chinese Bank’.  But it is clear what they say.”

A          “A pound to the penny that Great Britain and the City of London know a great deal and are quickly angling to be the player settling international accounts in lieu of the U.S.-dominated SWIFT.  The ‘special relationship’ between the U.S. and Great Britain is . . . so special.”

B          “Germany, France and Italy joined Britain and joined.  The ANZUS countries of Australia and New Zealand.  The Scandinavian countries of Sweden, Norway, Finland and Denmark.”

A          “Belgium of the BeNeLux countries did not submit an application although the Netherlands and Luxembourg did.”

B          “The three neutral ‘S’ countries during World War II including Sweden, Spain and the world’s banker Switzerland.”

A          “The BRICS including Brazil, Russia, India and perforce China, yet not South Africa apparently.”

B          “South Korea is on board but North Korea is jettisoned.”

A          “Vietnam and Iran and Saudi Arabia but not Afghanistan.”

B          “The PIiIGS are coming around including Portugal, Italy as noted, Iceland, possibly Ireland in the near future, and of course as noted Spain.  Greece is preoccupied.”

A          “Taiwan.  Taiwan.  China’s enemy is China’s friend.”

B          “Hong Kong.  Even Hong Kong.  China’s other enemy is China’s friend.”

A          “Tibet.  Still not free.”

B          “Israel.  Even Israel.  Oddly Israel.  America’s friend is America’s adversary China’s friend.”

A          “They say the enemy of my enemy is my friend.  Is it commutative?  The friend of my enemy is my enemy . . . or my friend?”

B          “A friend without benefits who get benefits?  It gets complicated.  Canada and Japan deciding not to join are revealing.”

A          “In contemporary culture, we are asked to ‘friend’ someone.  Nations have interests not friends.  Perhaps the United States needs to ask for other nations to ‘interest’ the U.S.”

B          “But they are interested in other national interests.”

A          “The Republicans in the U.S. oppose the 2010 IMF Quota and Governance Reforms and resist efforts to develop the Special Drawing Rights (SDR) to substitute as the world’s reserve currency in lieu of the U.S. petrodollar.  The AIIB will also settle accounts using something other than the SWIFT, the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication, another institution dominated by the United States.  The world is developing a workaround and trying to quarantine the toxins in the current financial system.”

B          “The world is seeking free, fair and honest financial settlements.”

A          “The U.S. thought it could take their ball and go home, but instead of the world blowing up, the world blew up another ball.”

. . .

A          “Remember when we noted the ‘three principle products’ of a country in school.  In the past, the U.S. exported the Marshall Plan, the Berlin Airlift, and the Peace Corps.  Today, the United States exports phony dollars, toxic inflation and endless wars.”

B          “Many countries just are not interested in participating in the American Dream any longer.  However, the vote is less one of disdain for the U.S. than fear if the current contagion is not corralled.”

. . .

A          “If you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em.”

B          “And the U.S. did not join.”

A          “The percolating world instability will lead to money flowing into the dollar for some time until the world refuses to import American dollars and American inflation and dooms the dollar.  The Supernova dollar.  The big bet is predicting the peak.”

B          “China is positioned to buy gold priced artificially low by the West and then revalue the gold and demand that the yellow stuff be included in the SDR, directly or indirectly.”

. . .

A          “I am betting dollars to doughnuts the Chinese will display the same arrogance and dominance in operating their racket.”

B          “The same incompetence and decadence.  The same new, same new, as they say.”

. . .

A          “And the changes will not even be understood by Americans even after the full force of the changes washed ashore.  Except when they go to buy a plasma tv and scope out the sticker.”

. . .

[See some background discussion at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asian_Infrastructure_Investment_Bank and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Society_for_Worldwide_Interbank_Financial_Telecommunication.%5D

Bumper stickers of the week:

The central message of the Twentieth Century is that it is easier to take by investment than by invasion.  Neither “I” in AIIB stands for ‘Invasion’.  The United States still embraces the old paradigm of “bomb and kill and kill and bomb.”  Diplomacy is war carried on by other means.

Copies of the debate in each country discussing whether to join the AIIB are a rich trove of insight.