Archive for the Treasury Category

Silver As The Canary In The Economic Mine (December 8, 2025)

Posted in Repurchase Agreement, Silver, Treasury, World's Reserve Currency on December 8, 2025 by e-commentary.org

. . .

K          “Something is up.”

J          “The price.”

. . .

K          “Its use as both an industrial metal and a precious metal positions it as a valuable and insightful barometer of economic events.”

J          “The Chinese and the British have always liked the stuff as money.  Industry also likes the metal.  Semiconductors, EVs and other clean energy production require the real thing and cannot be papered over with paper deliveries.”

K          “Someone with some insight believes that the supply of industrial silver metal may not meet the demand in the next year.”

. . .

K          “De-dollarization is quietly moving forward.  The dollar is slowly but measurably slipping as the world’s reserve currency while the U.S. Treasury Instruments are slipping as the world’s reserve asset.”

J          “Everyone has reservations about the U.S.  In a subtle way, the dollar as the ‘medium of exchange’ and the ‘unit of account’ and the UST as the ‘store of value’ are all threatened.”

K          “The sale of gold and silver at Costco is a palpable reveal.  Some fortunate little people are following the lead of the big banks and the central banks.  The people realize they need something real as a store of value.”  

. . .

K          “The decision by the Biden Administration to steal Russian assets in contravention of every legal convention and every economic conviction was an economic and political nuclear bomb dropped on the world.  The world realized what the world always suspected.  The United States is the suspect. The United States cannot be trusted.”

J          “Trust today is almost no longer even a theoretical construct.”

. . .

K          “This thing known as the Japanese carry trade seems to be blowing up, but I do not understand all the implications.”

J          “The thing known as the Repurchase trade seems to be blowing up, but I do not understand all the implications.”

. . .

K          “Do you believe there was a power outage at the CME that interrupted trading?”

J          “Not a chance.  Things were getting out of control.  So they pulled the plug.  They pulled the power when they realized they were losing power.”

K          “The plug may be pulled again.”

J          “They are losing power.”

. . .

K          “There sure are fractures and fissures in the economy.”

J          “Stay tuned.”

. . .

[See“Model Collapse: The Entire Bubble Economy Is a Hallucination” By Charles Hugh Smith dated December 3, 2025 in “www.oftwominds.com.”] 

[See the e-commentary at Too Much Dirt; Too Few Rugs. Repurchase Agreements (September 23, 2019) noting the trouble in the market for Repurchase Agreements in real time in September of 2019, Holographic Treasury Rates?  The 500 Trillion Asset Steal?  And Then The Great Taking?  Oh, And Happy IRS Day! (April 14, 2025) venturing that the government could simply pretend and report that it found buyers for the Treasuries, “De-Dollarization” Is The Word Of The Week.  And The Development Of the Year. (April 24, 2023) on a slow but growing transition, Not World War Tres.  Again.  The U.S. Declares War On Russia.  Again.  Oh, And Happy Thanksgiving!  Again. (November 25, 2024), Portentous Developments In 2022? (January 23, 2023), Sanctions, Supply Chains And World War E (March 7, 2022) and World’s Reserve Currency War I = Cold War 2.0 = WW III (?) (September 8, 2014).]

Bumper stickers of the week:

Dragon < Eagle > Bruin; Dragon + Bruin > Eagle; Eagle + Bruin > Dragon

“To be an enemy of America can be dangerous, but to be a friend is fatal.”  Henry Kissinger

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Holographic Treasury Rates?  The 500 Trillion Asset Steal?  And Then The Great Taking?  Oh, And Happy IRS Day! (April 14, 2025)

Posted in Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC), Debt/Deficits, Inflation, The Great Taking, Treasury, Unemployment on April 14, 2025 by e-commentary.org

. . .

J          “The latest antic seems to be an attempt to control the ten year Treasury rate, but that has other downside and inescapable consequences.  There is no out for the pickle we are in.”

K          “What if the yield reached an unacceptable 5.3 percent and they simply reported that it was a more palatable 4.2 percent or much more comfortable 3.1 percent?  Who would know?  Who would care?  Some players would love the idea.”

J          “That is the next frontier in the reality-free world of public finance.  The unemployment figures are all a fraud.  Inflation is intentionally and systematically underestimated.  The Treasury yield could easily become a pliable and manipulated hologram.”

K          “Someone may discover that they have decided not even to sell Treasuries but simply to report that they have sold Treasuries at a favorable yield.”

J          “There is every reason and incentive for them to lie.  There is no reason or incentive for them to tell the truth.”

. . .

J          “And then what happens when they go forward with their scheme to steal and privatize 500 Trillion in land and minerals that we have always considered public and even sacred.”

K          “They have stolen from and strip mined the middle class for forty years.  The next step is to steal from and strip mine what is left of America.”

. . .

J          “And then when the economic coup d’état envelopes everything and everyone, “The Great Taking” takes over and unleashes the final coup de grâce to take the remains of the economic carcass.”

K          “I have said it before.  The funny thing about the future is that it is so predictable.”

. . .

J          “And the imposition of CBDCs as a Christmas present.”

. . .

[See the e-commentary on the national Debt at National Debt:  36+ Trillion Or 136+ Trillion?  That Is The Question (March 24, 2025); on the fallacious official statistics for unemployment and inflation and other metrics at Bankruptcies?  Layoffs?  Foreclosures?  Evictions?  Inflation? (July 29, 2024); the fraudulent official figures for inflation and alternative measures of inflation and the obvious inflation that the Fed dismissed as “transitory” at the time at Is Inflation Inflating!?!? (April 26, 2021); the work of Professor Mark Skidmore, the recipient of the Fourth Annual Noble Prize In Eco-nomics (October 14, 2019), accurately calculating some of the real public Debt; and the discussion two years ago about AI and CBDCs at CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currencies):  The End Of Freedom, Privacy, Dignity, Sovereignty And Humanity.  And What Happens When AI (Artificial Intelligence) Takes Over Control Of CBDCs?  (April 17, 2023); see also Third Annual Noble Prize In Eco-nomics (October 8, 2018), To Be (In Debt), Or Not To Be (In Debt), what is the answer? (July 23, 2018), Debt Insouciance.  Does Debt Really Matter In The “Debt Age”? (February 25, 2019) and Forgiving American Debt? (March 3, 2008).]

Bumper stickers of the week:

2014:  Fed regulated banks into buying Treasuries;

2015:  Fed regulated money market funds into buying Treasuries; and

2018:  Trump tax legislation incentivized U.S. pensions to buy Treasuries