Archive for the Unemployment Category

Holographic Treasury Rates?  The 500 Trillion Asset Steal?  And Then The Great Taking?  Oh, And Happy IRS Day! (April 14, 2025)

Posted in Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC), Debt/Deficits, Inflation, The Great Taking, Treasury, Unemployment on April 14, 2025 by e-commentary.org

. . .

J          “The latest antic seems to be an attempt to control the ten year Treasury rate, but that has other downside and inescapable consequences.  There is no out for the pickle we are in.”

K          “What if the yield reached an unacceptable 5.3 percent and they simply reported that it was a more palatable 4.2 percent or much more comfortable 3.1 percent?  Who would know?  Who would care?  Some players would love the idea.”

J          “That is the next frontier in the reality-free world of public finance.  The unemployment figures are all a fraud.  Inflation is intentionally and systematically underestimated.  The Treasury yield could easily become a pliable and manipulated hologram.”

K          “Someone may discover that they have decided not even to sell Treasuries but simply to report that they have sold Treasuries at a favorable yield.”

J          “There is every reason and incentive for them to lie.  There is no reason or incentive for them to tell the truth.”

. . .

J          “And then what happens when they go forward with their scheme to steal and privatize 500 Trillion in land and minerals that we have always considered public and even sacred.”

K          “They have stolen from and strip mined the middle class for forty years.  The next step is to steal from and strip mine what is left of America.”

. . .

J          “And then when the economic coup d’état envelopes everything and everyone, “The Great Taking” takes over and unleashes the final coup de grâce to take the remains of the economic carcass.”

K          “I have said it before.  The funny thing about the future is that it is so predictable.”

. . .

J          “And the imposition of CBDCs as a Christmas present.”

. . .

[See the e-commentary on the national Debt at National Debt:  36+ Trillion Or 136+ Trillion?  That Is The Question (March 24, 2025); on the fallacious official statistics for unemployment and inflation and other metrics at Bankruptcies?  Layoffs?  Foreclosures?  Evictions?  Inflation? (July 29, 2024); the fraudulent official figures for inflation and alternative measures of inflation and the obvious inflation that the Fed dismissed as “transitory” at the time at Is Inflation Inflating!?!? (April 26, 2021); the work of Professor Mark Skidmore, the recipient of the Fourth Annual Noble Prize In Eco-nomics (October 14, 2019), accurately calculating some of the real public Debt; and the discussion two years ago about AI and CBDCs at CBDC (Central Bank Digital Currencies):  The End Of Freedom, Privacy, Dignity, Sovereignty And Humanity.  And What Happens When AI (Artificial Intelligence) Takes Over Control Of CBDCs?  (April 17, 2023); see also Third Annual Noble Prize In Eco-nomics (October 8, 2018), To Be (In Debt), Or Not To Be (In Debt), what is the answer? (July 23, 2018), Debt Insouciance.  Does Debt Really Matter In The “Debt Age”? (February 25, 2019) and Forgiving American Debt? (March 3, 2008).]

Bumper stickers of the week:

2014:  Fed regulated banks into buying Treasuries;

2015:  Fed regulated money market funds into buying Treasuries; and

2018:  Trump tax legislation incentivized U.S. pensions to buy Treasuries

 

The Command Economy Is Failing;  Cease Fiddling . . . With Interest Rates.  Oh, And Happy Constitution Day! (September 16, 2024)

Posted in Economy, Federal Reserve, Inflation, Interest Rates, Unemployment on September 16, 2024 by e-commentary.org

. . .

K          “Commissar Powell of the Central Planning Committee is directly setting monetary policy and by default substantially shaping fiscal policy.  I never thought I would say that a free market sounds downright liberating.”

J          “Our July discussion about the cooked unemployment and inflation figures is on the money.  They are proceeding from knowingly inaccurate and misleading information and cannot reach the right answer.”

K          “An accurate calculation and evaluation of the facts and figures and understanding of our circumstances would compel a continuation of the current interest rate.  The real economy is either in recession or ready to slide into recession.”

. . .

J          “The Fed is concerned about the compounding interest on the national debt that must be financed day in and day out and the maturing debt on commercial real estate that must be refinanced in the next few quarters.  The Fed is setting policy to protect the well-connected sectors.  As it always does.”

K          “The Fed is owned by the banks and the owners of the Fed do not want their borrowers defaulting when there is mucho money to be made refinancing the loans.”

. . .

K          “The Fed in practice responds to almost every usually self-inflicted crises by transferring trillions to the billionaires.”

J          “And they exacerbate income inequality almost as a matter of policy and with gross impunity.”

. . .

J          “By keeping interest rates so low in the past, the Fed has knowingly punished and harmed honest and hardworking individuals who seek less risk and desire a historically reasonable rate of return on their money.”

K          “By reducing interest rates, inflation will rise even more and partially inflate away the debt.”

. . .

K          “The Fed should announce that interest rates shall remain unchanged for three years.  That is a historically sound rate.  Let the consequences follow.  If there is economic pain, now is the time to address and accommodate the pain.”

J          “Humans do not relinquish power.  They have too much fun tinkering with the rates and playing with the public.”

K          “Agree.  Even this strategic and long term approach would be undermined because the Fed and the Treasury are still able to engage in all manner of machinations to expand and contract liquidity.”

J          “At least make them do so without messing directly with interest rates.  It is time to confront the can.”

. . .

[See the e-commentary at the Categories “Federal Reserve” and “Interest Rates” and other related e-commentary.]

Bumper stickers of the week:

It is time to confront the can

Cease fiddling

Bankruptcies?  Layoffs?  Foreclosures?  Evictions?  Inflation? (July 29, 2024)

Posted in Bankruptcy, Economy, Inflation, Kleptocracy, Unemployment on July 29, 2024 by e-commentary.org

. . .

J          “Bankruptcies are up.”

K          “And layoffs are rising.”

. . .

J          “Foreclosures for property owners.”

K          “Evictions for tenants.”

. . .

K          “Washington and Wall Street continue to strip mine the American middle class.”

J          “And do not remediate and reforest the lives and communities uprooted and destroyed in the process.”

. . .

K          “The BLS, the Bureau of Labor Statistics, should drop the pretense and drop the ‘L’ in its name.  The unemployment figures are a fraud.”

L          “The National Bureau of Economic Research would not recognize a recession if it announced itself with flashing lights and marching band.  I can see the lights and hear the band.”

. . .

K          “And inflation is much higher than the figures distorted by the government.  Some say the consumer price index known as the CPI should be called the ‘CP Lie’.”

J          “Yet the thing we call the economy for the wealthy goes on its merry way.”

. . .

K          “Maybe.”

J          “Maybe.”

. . .

[Listen to the discussion titled “The Plunderers Now Run Our Economy” with Gretchen Morgenson interviewed by Adam Taggart at “Thoughtful Money” dated July 22, 2024.  Reflect on the figures on layoffs, quits and hires at “Daily Job Cuts” and on public job cuts at MacroEdge’s “Job Cuts Tracker”.  See the figures on real inflation at “ShadowStats”.]

[See the e-commentary at Is Inflation Inflating!?!? (April 26, 2021) written at a time when those in power insisted that inflation was transitory, Sixth Annual Noble Prize In Eco-nomics (October 11, 2021) acknowledging the work of John Williams accurately tracking the true rate of inflation at “Shadowstats”, Interning For Clio:  Collecting, Protecting And Preserving The Record (April 4, 2022), The Taxonomy Of The American Economy (May 21, 2018) and Does Any Institution In America Function? Oh, And Happy Friday The 13th! (December 9, 2019) discussing, among other institutions, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and its fraudulent employment numbers.]

Bumper stickers of the week:

Unemployment:      https://dailyjobcuts.com/ and https://www.macroedge.net/job-cuts-tracker

Inflation:      http://www.shadowstats.com/

Fraud + Fraud + Fraud + Fraud + Fraud = / = Truth

Brother, can you spare a dime?

Unemployment Insurance = Welfare 2.0 (June 23, 2014)

Posted in Federal Reserve, Insurance, Journalism, Military, Newspapers, Pensions, Personal Story, Press/Media, Unemployment, War, Welfare, Work on June 23, 2014 by e-commentary.org

. . .

E          “They are not coming back.”

U          “And they keep coming.”

. . .

E          “After the War, he moved the family westward from the homestead bequeathed to his older brother to a community with no friends and no connections and moved upward from one manufacturing job to another and then retired as a floor manager.  He put food on the table and kids through college.  He said that all the companies he worked for have gone out of business or moved overseas.  Most of the pension funds were dissipated or disappeared.”

U          “Those returning from the current wars are not finding opportunities.  Those who stayed have not found opportunities.”

E          “Years ago, some guys worked at a service station checking the tires and washing the windows and graduated to a mechanics job for life.  Now there is no service and far fewer mechanics positions.”

U          “Yesterday’s grease monkey with a G.E.D. is today’s barista with a B.A.”

. . .

E          “Many of the jobs are undertaken by a robot that may never craft an inspiring poem or participate in a parent-teacher conference, yet it produces a consistently high quality product very efficiently.”

U          “A company can use the robots to fine-tune the built-in obsolescence.  The product can be designed and manufactured to fail ten minutes after the limited warranty expires.  And robots are not the most efficient consumers of their own products.”

. . .

E          “The Federal Reserve is untethered by the Constitution, Congress or common sense except for a mandate in the Humphrey-Hawkins Full Employment Act to address unemployment in its decision-making.  The Fed has knowingly pursued decisions that do nothing to promote employment and do much to transfer wealth to the wealthy.”

U          “The Republicans respond with the obscene lie that a reduction in the capital gains rate will reduce unemployment.  The Press almost always gives them a pass.”

. . .

E          “Unemployment insurance originally covered thirteen weeks and then twenty-six weeks and then up to seventy-three weeks in many jurisdictions.  Some are calling for further extensions of unemployment insurance.”

U          “The insurance is becoming a tenuous version of ‘Welfare 2.0.’”

. . .

E          “What happens when thoughtful people realize that the jobs are never coming back.”

U          “The unemployed are categorized under the ‘U6 Unemployment’ category and forgotten.”

. . .

Bumper stickers of the week:

Get a job

Where?

Rational Fear: Still “Unusually Uncertain” (November 8, 2010)

Posted in "L" Shaped Economy, Bailout/Bribe, Banks and Banking System, Bernanke, Depression, Federal Reserve, Greenspan, Kleptocracy, Technology, Unemployment, Volker with tags on November 8, 2010 by e-commentary.org

. . .

K         “Think about it.  Some maintain the blind conviction that the business cycle is ordained by nature like the tides to rise after it falls.”

J          “Faith in nature.  This season is bad so that the next season will be good because that is the way it is.  Good luck.”

K         “Some desire to return to unrestrained personal consumption and unbridled economic growth.  Even if it is attainable at this time it is not sustainable over time.”

J          “Faith in unchecked consumption.  With oil peaking and a world population that has not peaked, the prospects are not promising.  America had its opportunity to consume.  Other countries, particularly China and India, now want and have earned their opportunity to consume.  If the oil holds out.  And if the coal does not kill us.”

K         “Some believe that new technology will be pulled out of the hat and pull us out of this mess.”

J          “Faith in technological salvation.  The technology sector likely will continue to grow but not enough to propel the entire economy.  The tech world is producing some sexy developments and neat gadgets.”

K         “I’ve always supported free trade when it is truly free.  Decades ago, I could see that globalization would shift massive numbers of American jobs overseas.  They said the solution is to train and retool the America workforce.  The workforce is not retrained and retooled and may not be retrainable and retoolable.  Not many commentators in academic economics or in the financial press have a clue.”

J          “It is one thing to listen to Greenspan and know that everything he says is wrong, yet who is getting it right.  Knowing which way not to go in a maze is not the same as knowing which way to go.  Volker has a clue, yet he is on the sidelines.”

K         “Bernanke* has a clue.  Now that monetary policy has effectively failed, he is enacting what is effectively fiscal policy.  Fiscal policy is the province of the legislature, the Congress.  But Congress is broken.  The Humphrey-Hawkins Full Employment Act, an act of Congress, requires the Fed to promote full employment.  Perhaps he is actually trying to stimulate employment.”

J          “But there are no jobs, now or in the future.  Quantitative Easing II is nothing more and nothing less than TARP II implemented by the Fed rather than Congress.  The Fed’s purchase of bonds is nothing more and nothing less than a slick way to provide another bribe and bailout to Wall Street.”

K          “That is hard to dispute unless there are a few random hires here and there.  And he continues a tradition at the Fed of lying or at least deceiving the public.  He can do something.  He and the Fed regularly issue ‘Remarks’ and ‘Speeches’ on all manner of topics.  He should direct the Fed to issue a finding that a single bank with deposits and assets of more than 100 billion is a clear and present danger to the American economy and to the security and well-being of the Republic.  If a bank or other financial institution does not enter into an Enforcement Action with the Fed, close the resources of the Federal Reserve to the bank or financial institution.  In effect, require banks to downsize to manageable sizes.  They must be small enough to fail and to play well with others.”

J          “Won’t happen.  Our democracy is now a kleptocracy.”

K         “That won’t help employment, however.  But he could pull it off.  He can be bold.  He would have to play all his capital.  But for us citizens, however, the only things we have to fear are so many very real fears.”

. . .

Bumper stickers of the week:

The only things we have to fear are so many very real fears.

Don’t end the Fed, mend the Fed.

“And as things fell apart/Nobody paid much attention.”  “(Nothing But) Flowers” – Talking Heads

“This country’s hard on people, you can’t stop what’s coming.”  No Country for Old Men movie (2007)

The Economic Numbers Game (May 5, 2008)

Posted in Economics, Inflation, Unemployment on May 5, 2008 by e-commentary.org

“The truth, though it would not exactly set Americans free, would at least open a window to wider economic and political understanding.  Readers should ask themselves how much angrier the electorate might be if the media, over the past five years, had been citing 8 percent unemployment (instead of 5 percent), 5 percent inflation (instead of 2 percent), and average annual growth in the 1 percent range (instead of the 3 – 4 percent range).

. . .

The real numbers, to most economically minded Americans, would be a face full of cold water.  Based on the criteria in place a quarter century ago, today’s U.S. unemployment rate is somewhere between 9 percent and 12 percent; the inflation rate is as high as 7 or even 10 percent; economic growth since the recession of 2001 has been mediocre, despite a huge surge in the wealth and incomes of the superrich, and we are falling back into recession.

If what we have been sold in recent years has been delusional “Pollyanna Creep,” what we really need today is a picture of our economy ex-distortion.  For what it would reveal is a nation in deep difficulty not just domestically but globally.”

Kevin Phillips

The CPI (Consumer Price Index), the benchmark for measuring inflation, underreports the actual prices for necessities such as food and energy.  [See the e-ssay dated July 16, 2007 entitled “Back Door Inflation.”]  The current CPI is “inflation sans inflation.”  The U-3 unemployment figures underreport unemployment, whereas the U-6 figures are more accurate.  The reporters should report the U-6 figures.

Perhaps the government should simply state and the media could mindlessly repeat that there is no inflation and are no unemployed citizens while the economy is growing ten percent every year.  How much less true would these statements be than the current statistics?

“Transparency” is the rage in many disciplines today.  Presenting accurate information and revising all the past information to conform to consistent and reliable benchmarks across time is a positive and long overdue start.

See www.shadowstats.com by John Williams and navigate from there.

Bumper stickers of the week:

73 percent of all statistics are made up on the fly.

Lies, Damn Lies, and Government Statistics.

Disraeli was 100 percent right.

U-6 Not U-3 Unemployment Figures.

[Mildred Loving, one of the plaintiffs who challenged the miscegenation law in Virginia, died today.  See the e-ssay dated March 14, 2005 entitled “’Strict Construction’ Strictly Construed.”]