Archive for the Markets Category

Sanctions, Supply Chains And World War E (March 7, 2022)

Posted in Covid / Coronavirus, Inflation, Kleptocracy, Markets, Russia, Sanctions on March 7, 2022 by e-commentary.org

. . .

K          “Seems like ten years ago, not two years ago.”

J          “It was ten years ago.  Covid time.”

K          “In mid-February way back then, we were terrified that it was as virulent as a Hantavirus and more terrified that the rest of the public was oblivious to the threat.  The threats to the supply chains were obvious to only a few.”

. . .

K          “Two years ago they said that we needed two weeks to ‘flatten the curve’ but never said that they would take two years to ‘flatten the economy’ and transfer wealth to the wealthy and undermine small and independently owned businesses.”

J          “They launched ‘helicopter money’ that dropped a dollar to the plebs for every hundred thousand dollars delivered to the Kleptocrats.  What an experiment.  We as a society tried wage and price controls in 1971 and helicopter money in 2021-2022.  Inflation is no surprise; inflation is the consequence.” 

. . .

K          “Biden and Putin agree.  Biden plans to boycott Russian oil and gas that is desperately needed in Germany and the West; Russia agrees not to provide the much needed oil and gas to Germany and the West.  As dad would say, Biden is cutting off Europe’s nose to spite Europe’s face and Putin is providing the scalpel.”

J          “Oil is life.  Turning off and turning down the oil wells will not turn out well.”

. . .

K          “Biden’s decision to cut off the Russian central bank’s access to most of its $630 billion of foreign reserves is a desperate and frightening move.  Once again, the United States weaponized the monetary system and issued a formal declaration of ‘World War E’ against Russia.  The rest of the world knows one truth – No one can trust the United States.  There is nothing more important or precious than trust.  Mark my words, there will be a new economic order that is fundamentally different than the current machinations.”

J          “I tell you, for those of us on the outside, the early tell is when the manipulated paper gold price results in few sellers of gold and then a huge chasm between the manipulated price and the actual selling price between a willing seller and a willing buyer.”  

. . .

J          “Someone said that Russia holds 90% of the world’s neon that is critical for lasers and semiconductor manufacturing, 40% of palladium that is necessary for catalytic converters and 35% to 40% of Boeing’s titanium and over 50% of Airbus’s titanium.  And then there is platinum and there is aluminum and there is rhodium.”

K          “From what I read, Europe imports 28% of their oil and 40% of their natural gas from Russia.  The U.S. is not happy with that reality yet cannot meet the demand.  So the U.S. tells the Europeans to freeze.  In the dark.  That will play well in Potsdam.”

. . .

K          “The move from the factory to the farm is as disquieting.  In high school, they described the Ukraine as the breadbasket of what was then the USSR.” 

J          “We always flow back to oil.  Oil is life; food is just oil reconstituted in another form.  Someone observed that Russia and Ukraine account for 30% of the global wheat trade, 20% of the corn, 80% of the sunflower-oil exports and 12% of all calories traded globally.  And they provide fertilizer to grow the products.  Without fertilizer, farmers will not plant.  The inescapable problem is that a car plant can be closed or opened at any time of the year, but a carrot must be planted at a specific time of the year governed by Gaia not by the government.  The times to plant have passed and are passing.  You cannot plant yesterday.”

. . .

K          “You reap what you sow.  We are not sowing.”

J          “We are so in trouble.”

. . .

[See If Russian Currency Reserves Aren’t Really Money, the World Is in for a Shock dated March 3, 2022 by Jon Sindreu in the “Wall Street Journal”.]

[See the e-commentary at Covid-19: BAU v. BAU (February 24, 2020), Covid-19 PanICdemic/Plague:  Basically, Back To Basics:  Finding Food; Printing Rutabagas.  Happy Earth Day! (April 20, 2020), Is Inflation Inflating!?!? (April 26, 2021) and Careening Toward A Global Totalitarian Authoritarian Behemoth?  And Then There Is The Fed’s Self-Inflicted Great Checkmate. (January 3, 2022).]

Bumper stickers of the week:

“Control oil and you control nations; control food and you control the people.”  Henry Kissinger

Two is one; one is none; none is none.

Socio-politico-economic experiments:  1971:  Wage and Price Controls; 2020 – 21:  Helicopter Money

“Whatsoever a man soweth, that shall he also reap.”  Galatians 6:7

Tariffs, Taxes, Trade, Trends (August 26, 2019)

Posted in Markets, Tariffs, Taxation, Trade on August 26, 2019 by e-commentary.org

. . .

K          “They’re back.”

J          “Just when you thought it was safe to go back in the economy.  The tariff jaws are opening back up and may devour us.”

. . .

J          “A tariff is a tax.  A tax raises revenue and raises the price of the tariffed/taxed product and shapes the behavior of the product’s consumers.”

K          “Our good friend price elasticity.  The demand for the tariffed/taxed product changes and in most situations goes down but in unpredictable ways and at a unpredictable rate in different economies and markets and regions and sectors.”

J          “The economists do not know what is going on in the economy as it is and definitely do not know what is going on when the tariff curve ball is pitched into the mess and the morass.”

. . .

K          “The goal is to encourage domestic production, but domestic production is dead.  No businessperson is willing or able or capable of responding to the possibility that there may be some ephemeral interest in a product in America based on a whim in policy this week.”

J          “Why make the effort.  Uncertainty is the greatest foe.  No one is going to open a manufacturing plant in America except perhaps one run by robots that are cheaper than foreign labor.”

. . .

J          “A tariff is a thinly disguised act of war.”

K          “This economy is so fractured and fissured and fraudulent that the next jolt could be the Big Jolt.”       

. . .

[See the e-commentary at “Terrorized By Trumpi’s Tariffs (March 5, 2018)”, “Tariffs Are Tarrible.  Oh, And Happy Bastille Day! (July 16, 2018)” and “‘Mericanize:  Monetize, Mechanize And Militarize (December 30, 2013)”.

Bumper sticker of the week:

“Powerful nations can maintain themselves only by crime, little states are virtuous only by weakness.”  Mikhail Bakunin

Everything Monopolized, Nothing Economized.  Completion Of “The General Theory Of Economics” Is In Remission . . .  Oh, And Happy Halloween! (October 29, 2018)

Posted in Economics, Economics Nobel, Market Solutions, Markets, Monopoly, Noble Prize in Eco-nomics, Price, Technology on October 29, 2018 by e-commentary.org

. . .

J          “Bummer.  After all that time and thought.”

K          “And all that fun.  I tell you I realized that if it was going to be done and if it was going to be done right, I would have to do it to get it done right.”

J          “Been there.  Done that.”

. . .

K          “A construct such as the IS-LM model is largely malarkey but is heuristically valuable.  Today, the fundamental problem trying to describe and direct the operation and function of the economy is that there really is not an operating and functioning economy.  With all of the distortion, intervention and manipulation, price is not tied to anything real.  Every business, every single business in every single industry, is a monopoly.  The business is the industry; the industry is the business.  From pork to politics.”

J          “Yet only a few folks have discovered and understand that we cannot discover price.  Price discovery now is so passé.  Without price, we cannot communicate in the economic marketplace.  And the central bankers working alone and together destroyed the language of the marketplace.”

. . .

K          “He left Iowa with his father marketing the hogs to five potential buyers and returned to find that one buyer sets the price.”

J          “And both Senators from Iowa are Republicans.  You don’t have to ‘go figure’ when ‘it figures’ so clearly.”

. . .

J          “And the Swedish central bankers reward those individuals who provide the economic cover for the crimes and misdemeanors of all the central bankers by giving their ignoble ‘Nobel’ Prize in E-con-omics to the most successful errand boy or girl.”

K          “The Noble Prize in Eco-nomics is the part of the answer.”

. . .

J          “The most vexing monopoly is the government/corporate syndicate that precludes any competing alternative entity.”

K          “The twisted irony is that most industries, and all the major tech industries without exception, are basically ‘natural monopolies’ and thus ‘utilities’ such as the water company.  A utility is a monopoly.  A monopoly must be regulated.  Yet the tech companies/tech utilities own the government and quash any regulation.”

. . .

J          “The Republican political monopoly firmly supports the current economic monopolies who in turn own the Republican political monopoly.  The Death Spiral is spiraling but not changing.”

K          “In a fortnight, the slow boiling coup d’état by the Republicans could be completed by the Republicans.  If the Democrats do not take the House, the control of government will be concentrated in one mega-corporation – the Republican Party, Inc. / the Corporation, Inc.  The political ‘campaign’ is aptly namely for battle because the Democrats are charging east up Jenkins Hill trying to retake the southern flank of the Capitol and the House of Commons under intense enemy fire.  We need to hire the friends and fire the enemy.”

J          “The Presidency is a lock, the Judiciary is the stock and the Congress is the barrel.  Lock, stock and barrel.” 

K          “For the next two years at least, the Presidency is indeed a lock for the Republicans.  For the rest of our time on this Planet, the judiciary is a laughing stock and a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Republican Party, Inc. / the Corporation, Inc. doing their bidding.  And the Republican Congress has the ordinary citizen over a barrel.”

J          “Hook, line and sinker.  We are hooked, they have us firmly on the line and all of us are sunk.”

. . . 

[See the discussion in “This is Not a Market” in “The Automatic Earth” by Raul Ilargi Meijer dated April 23, 2018.]

[See the scary e-commentary last Halloween at “Are ‘Prices’ Language?  Are Antitrust Laws Grounded In The First Amendment?  How Do We Forestall The ‘Frightful Five’ And Other Monopolies. Oh, And Happy Halloween! (October 30, 2017)”.]

Bumper sticker of the week:

Free markets now!

“Legs Network” Is Big Brother (October 27, 2014)

Posted in Amazon, Consumerism, Elections, Facebook, Google, Internet, Journalism, Markets, Press/Media, Technology, Television on October 27, 2014 by e-commentary.org

. . .

1          “While watching late last night, it dawned on me.  Big Brother is now privatized and outsourced.  The ‘Legs Network’ is Big Brother.”

2          “I like it.  The name, that is.  The Network provides ideological programming punctuated by ideological advertising.  Spin reality and repeat it over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and over and . . . .”

1          “A vile message grounded in fear and repeated and repeated and repeated to advance the interests of the corporate sponsors.”

2          “Over and over and over and over.”

. . .

1          “Female applicants are required to submit photographs of their legs.  They know what they are foisting.”

2          “Shoes?  Restorative varicose vein surgery?  And all of the propagandists are graduates of the Edward L. Bernays School of Disinformation.”

1          “One was a Joe Goebbels Fellow.”

2          “Josephina Goebbels Fellow?”

. . .

1          “A higher percentage of the indoctrinees of the ‘Legs Network’ are living on government assistance than the viewers of public television.”

2          “The governments – federal, state and local – are also even bigger Big Brothers than in the past.”

1          “Every new social media spawns its own monopoly and gestates another Big Brother.  Amazon, Google, Facebook, you name it, are all Big Brothers.  We need a protective and independent ‘Big Brother’ to protect or at least to inform us.  Instead we get a bevy of Orwellian ‘Big Brothers’ that monitor and manipulate us.”

2          “Everyone is in our corner and no one is in our corner.”

. . .

Bumper stickers of the week:

Big Brothers abound

“Legs Network” is Big Brother

Facebook is Big Brother

Google is Big Brother

Twitter is Big Brother

Amazon is Big Brother

ebay is Big Brother

Zillow is Big Brother

_____ is Big Brother

Are Big Sisters more benign?

[A Pawel Kuczynski sketch of a video camera on a wall focused (and fixated) on a second video camera on the same wall also focused (and fixated) on the first camera.]

Possibly Just Barely Maybe Hopefully Gettin’ Through The Day (March 3, 2014)

Posted in Economics, Freedom / Liberty, Markets, Minimum Wage, Personal Stories Series, Personal Story, Russia on March 6, 2014 by e-commentary.org

. . .

_________________           “I was up all night trying to figure out who to pay and how much to pay.  Everyone wants to be paid everything right now.  I tried to figure out who really needs the money.  Everyone needs the money.  I tried to figure out who was waiting the longest.  Everyone has waited too long.  I tried to figure who has been helpful and understanding.  A few people have been nice about it.  I tried to figure out who I would need in the future.  I need most of them because they provide my basics in life.  I didn’t have to try to figure out who has made threats and been mean to me.  In my head, I took one dollar from someone and added two dollars to someone else.  Then I added up the total payments and again had spent more money than I have again.  I tossed and tried again and turned and tried again and tossed and cried again.  Then I got up tired and went to my first job that will not provide enough money to pay my current bills.”           

. . .

Bumper stickers of the week:

The real value of money is the freedom it provides to be generous

Colorado:  All is fine; taxes are up; life goes on

When Texas threatens to secede, do the Russians threaten to attack?

U.S.A and Russia:  When you have someone in a corner, you are also in the same corner 

Humanity’s Motto: To Enslave And To Colonize (January 27, 2014)

Posted in Blue States / Red States, Economics, Immanentizing The Eschaton, Markets, Pogo Plight on January 27, 2014 by e-commentary.org

. . .

A          “You can now add Bezos to the legendary ‘CDEs’ of exploitation – Carnegie, Disney and Edison – who made their fortunes exploiting others.”

B          “And the kingpins of exploitation – the Waltons.  As humans, we seek to enslave and to colonize, not to nurture and to develop.”

A          “Take one’s liberty and take one’s property.  It’s the human way.  We established a Constitution to protect life, liberty and property.”

B          “He too seeks to enslave.  Amazon has become the CyberWalmart.”

A          “Like Walmart, the prices are very low and allow some shoppers to afford to make it through the day.  Some of the customers may be the same employees who cannot subsist on Walmart wages.  The Amazon prices are usually lower and the guarantee is objectively better than the guarantees offered by locally owned businesses that may be going out of business in part because of Amazon’s competition.”

B          “By contrast, Costco pays a living wage and offers health care and retirement to its employees while offering very low prices and an unconditional guarantee to its customers.” 

A          “Walmart is a Red State company headquartered in a Red State.  Costco is a Blue State company headquartered in a Blue State.  Amazon is an anomaly – a Red State company headquartered in a Blue State.” 

B          “Look at the state they leave the employees in when a company pays slave wages.  Slaves don’t make profitable consumers.” 

A          “If there are no consumers, you can’t have seventy percent of economic growth fueled by consumer spending.”

. . .

[The author has no financial interest in Amazon, Costco or Walmart and has shopped at all three institutions.]

[Pete Seeger – May 3, 1919 – January 27, 2014]

[“Almost half of the world’s wealth is now owned by just one percent of the population, and seven out of ten people live in countries where economic inequality has increased in the last 30 years.  The World Economic Forum has identified economic inequality as a major risk to human progress, impacting social stability within countries and threatening security on a global scale.”  http://www.oxfam.org/en/policy/working-for-the-few-economic-inequality.]

Bumper sticker of the week:

To Enslave And To Colonize.  Hey, it’s who we are.

‘Mericanize: Monetize, Mechanize And Militarize (December 30, 2013)

Posted in Economics, Energy, Kleptocracy, Markets, Military, Pogo Plight, Society on December 30, 2013 by e-commentary.org

. . .

C1        “America makes nothing but monetizes everything.”

C2        “And makes things up.” 

C1        “We make up fake money, but we cannot make up fake energy.  We need to energize not monetize.  We need to measure the energy inputs and environmental outputs before we do or make or consume anything.  Money is not the measure and sends the wrong signals.”

C2        “Even by their own terms, money and markets are far too broken to work either efficiently or equitably today.”

C1        “We aid and abet the rich players taking money electronically from the poor and middle class.”

C2        “Everything is an accounting hijink and a legal mirage concocted by the accountants and the lawyers.”

C1        “And the e-con-omists.  Everything is virtual; nothing is real.”

. . .

C1        “Now they are proclaiming that the great American heartland will be saved by the construction of new factories and a renaissance in manufacturing.  However, the typical factory does not actually employ more than two employees who turn on and monitor the machine.”

C2        “And billions are spent to keep those two employees from receiving a slightly higher minimum wage.”

C1        “Economic slaves make unprofitable consumers.”

. . .

C1        “The response in Boston is another display of the militarization of society.  The town was invaded by American storm troopers who dressed and acted like they were invading Fallujah or Kandahar.”

C2        “We lost the race years ago.  The camo armored personnel carrier replaced the black and white Crown Victoria Police Interceptor.  The .308 replaced the .38.  Kevlar® replaced khaki.”

C1        “The old saw says it all:  ‘A YouTube video is worth ten thousand words.’  The vignettes told the most harrowing stories as the militarized police broke into houses and pulled citizens out of their homes.  A few folks were shocked, a few were outraged, and a few were disgusted, yet there was an undertone of acceptance and obeisance.”

C2        “We are lost.  We are neutered and anesthetized.”

. . .

C1        “We are the Etch-A-Sketch® society.  Nothing is real or permanent.”

C2        “We are the Play-Doh® people.  No spine and no substance.  Malleable as clay.  There is no there there.” 

. . .

[See the “e-ssays” titled Minimum Wage and Maximum Earners (July 31, 2006), Racing Backwards; Moving Forward? (July 27, 2009), Occupy America: The “Bonus March/Chicago Police Riot/Kent State” Of 2011? (October 17, 2011) and Men In Pink: Today’s Sensitive New SWAT Togs (August 20, 2012).]

Bumper stickers of the week:

Too much information, too little insight

Everything is virtual; nothing is real

Energize don’t marginalize

We need fewer folks chasing fewer flora and far fewer fauna

The cup is one sixteenth full

In the end, the physicists always triumph over the e-con-omists

Coal (December 2, 2013)

Posted in Book Reference, Carbon Surcharge & Dividend, Coal, Global Climate Change, Global Warming, Less Government Regulation Series, Market Solutions, Markets, Plastic on December 2, 2013 by e-commentary.org

. . .

S          “Books on Cod and Salt discuss the profound impacts of the fish and the element on civilization.  Someone should write a piece titled Coal and its pernicious consequences.”

T          “A few books dig into Dirt.  We have clean dirt but not clean coal.  ‘Clean coal’ is an ironic, oxymoronic and alliterative phrase repeated often enough to fool many folks.”

S          “And ‘Dirty coal’ is redundant.”

. . .

S          “Mother Nature leads us into temptation.  The stuff is not shiny like gold but does provide that warm inner glow and hot outer glow that we all covet.”

T          “We must resist El Diablo Negro.”

. . .

T          “Later this week, coal will be deposited in the shoes of the youngsters who have been naughty rather than nice.  And may not have resisted temptation.”

S          “Some folks leave switches in shoes to acknowledge unacceptable behavior.”

T          “I really never needed candy.”

S          “We need to jolt folks into realizing that electricity is not produced for free at a wall switch.”

T          “We dig deposits out of the dirt and deposit the stuff in our power plants and then deposit the by-products around the Earth and in our lungs.  The death cycle of coal.”

S          “We need to get folks to switch their behavior.”

. . .

T          “I installed compact fluorescent lights (cfls) which admittedly have a little mercury that must be disposed of properly.  My reduced demand for coal reduces the mercury released when coal is burned to produce electricity.” 

. . .

S          “A Carbon Surcharge and Dividend policy (CS&D) enlists the market mechanism to internalize the costs of carbon production and reduce its use without any other government regulation.”

. . .

[See the article on plastics drowning the oceans at http://www.latimes.com/opinion/commentary/la-oe-gold-plastic-waste-oceans-20131104,0,1147461.story#axzz2jywwzvfA.]

[See the “e-ssays” at On Trading Off (May 9, 2011) and Energy “Manhattan Project”: The “Carbon Tax And Dividend” (March 25, 2013.]

Bumper stickers of the week:

The solution to pollution ain’t dilution.

Pneumonoultramicroscopicsilicovolcanoconiosis will be available in paper back in March. 

Going The Extra Mile: Today’s Airline Mileage Programs (August 19, 2013)

Posted in Aviation, Market Solutions, Markets on August 19, 2013 by e-commentary.org

. . .

A          “That is correct.”

P          “So I drive from my home near Raleigh to the airport and then fly sitting in a middle seat to Kuala Lampur International and wait for seven hours and then fly to Kathmandu International and sit for ten hours and then fly to Timbuktu International Airport and then I arrive.  That is the best you can do under the mileage program.”

A          “That is correct.”

P          “I get it.  I had to accumulate a lot of miles and then the available routes entail enduring all kinds of miles in the air on inconvenient routes with long delays between flights.”

A          “That is correct.”

P          “So that is why they call it a mileage program.”

A          “That is correct.”

P          “That is the best itinerary to get to Durham Airport.”

A          “That is correct.  Would you like the available flights from Ft. Worth to Dallas?  In August, we can route you through Antarctica.”

. . .

P          “The president of the airline is a Harvard MBA and a sociopath who makes 120 million a year and could not make a HO gauge train in his den run on time.” 

A          “That is correct.” 

. . .

P          “You are required to read from a script and stay on message.” 

A          “That is correct.” 

. . .

[See the “e-ssay” at An Airline (Partial) Survival Guide (January 24, 2005).]

Bumper sticker of the week:

“Remember, we are not happy until you are not happy.”  Today’s Airline.